Poland v Netherlands – Euro2024 Group D Predictions & Betting Tips

Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) 16 June - 14:00
Poland
VS
Netherlands
Recommended tip Draw

Both of these teams only qualified for Euro 24 by the skin of their teeth, Poland were the last team to qualify after beating Wales (nothing to brag about with that result) with Netherlands not faring much better, securing their entry into the competition by beating the Republic of Ireland.

There was a time not too long ago when the Netherlands would have been one of the favourites to win the competition, with Poland also being amongst the more fancied teams and even though it wouldn’t be a shock if they both performed well, most pundits would agree that both teams are not the force they once were.

Odds and Predictions

We’ve got this match pencilled in for a 1 – 1 draw and unless there are any last-minute injuries, we are confident in our choice of tips.

The top football betting sites odds for the draw is a generous 4.2, with the correct score being 8.5 so an option would be to split your stake, 75% on the draw and 25% on the 1 – 1 scoreline.

Another bet that stands out for us can be found in the ‘half time/full time’ market with the selection, Poland/Draw.

We can see Poland scoring first and then Netherlands coming back into the game in the second half, scoring an equaliser in the later stages.

Poland vs. Netherlands

Comparison and Statistics from Past Meetings between the Teams

Poland and Netherlands have played each other H2H a total of nineteen times, with the Netherlands having the better record with nine wins; Poland has won three with seven of the encounters ending in a draw.

The last five head-to-head matches are listed below.

Past Meetings
22 Sep 2022 poland 0-2 netherlands UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2022 netherlands 2-2 poland UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2020 poland 1-2 netherlands UEFA Nations League
04 Sep 2020 netherlands 1-0 poland UEFA Nations League
01 Jun 2016 poland 1-2 netherlands Friendly Game

Expected Line Ups

That Netherlands lineup actually looks quite impressive. Virgil van Dijk never fails to impress when playing for Liverpool, and we do have the opinion that Nathan Aké often doesn’t receive the credit he deserves.

As for Poland, Robert Lewandowski​ limped off the pitch in a friendly against Turkey, so let’s hope he recovers in time, as he is a great player to watch.

Poland (3-5-2): Wojciech Szczęsny; Jan Bednarek, Paweł Dawidowicz, Jakub Kiwior; Przemysław Frankowski, Jakub Piotrowski, Bartosz Slisz, Piotr Zieliński, Nicola Zalewski; Karol Świderski, Robert Lewandowski​.

Netherlands (3-4-2-1): Bart Verbruggen; Stefan de Vrij, Virgil van Dijk, Nathan Aké; Denzel Dumfries, Frenkie de Jong, Jerdy Schouten, Daley Blind; Xavi Simons, Cody Gakpo; Wout Weghorst​.

How Far Will These Teams Progress in the Tournament?

We feel that this will be another close group, but Poland will exit at this stage.

Bear in mind that France is also in this group and Holland have that perfect mix of youth and experience, which could see them surprise a few people who believe that this team is well past its best.

So, France and Holland will progress to the last 16, and our predictions are that Holland will get to the semi-final of the competition.

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