Arsenal vs Liverpool - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Emirates Stadium 08 January - 20:00

Arsenal

Liverpool

Recommended tip Win for Arsenal

1: 1.54 X: 4.20 2: 5.90

1: 1.57 X: 4.00 2: 5.00

1: 1.57 X: 4.20 2: 5.50

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There’s a proper electric feel to midweek football when Arsenal roll up the carpet at Emirates Stadium to face the ever-dangerous Liverpool. Thursday night stuffing of top-six opposition is the kind of fixture that tells you everything about title credentials; this one promises fireworks, narrative and more than a touch of bragging rights. The Gunners arrive with a head of steam, having rattled off a string of wins, while the Reds will be sniffing for a response after being pegged back late at Craven Cottage.

Form, injuries and that delicious tactical chess between Mikel Arteta and Jürgen Klopp are the hot talking points. Arsenal’s forward line is firing but their clean-sheet record is patchy; Liverpool, for all their moments of brilliance, have been hit by late lapses and the absence of key players at times. This is a clash that matters for the title picture and for Liverpool’s pride — the kind of fixture fans circle on the calendar.

If you’re hunting for value among the markets, our Predictions and Tips will steer you through the noise — check out our take and a quick pointer on the odds to know where the smart money might sit. For those who like to compare markets, our roundup of top choices is a useful read: football betting sites.

Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have priced this as an Arsenal-favouring affair, which hasn’t surprised anyone paying attention to the form tables. The pre-game odds suggest a strong probability for a home win: HOME: 11/20 (1.55) – 64.5%, DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%, AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.0% (odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change). Those numbers are a clear nudge toward the Gunners but not an absolute certainty — Liverpool remain a threat and these markets are often fickle.

Our pundit’s predictions lean toward Arsenal taking the three points, but with goals at both ends. The Gunners’ tendency to concede even when winning makes the ‘Both Teams To Score’ market appealing, while a straight win for Arsenal carries the clearest value at the odds above. The correct-score tip in-house is 3-1 to Arsenal — bold, but in keeping with recent patterns.

In plain terms: this is a match for bettors who like a bit of ambition. Backing Arsenal to win with BTTS ticks both boxes — it captures the attacking threat whilst respecting the defensive wobble. Keep an eye on the market moves; if Liverpool’s price shortens significantly it may indicate late team-sheet news or a shift in public money.

Comparison and Statistics

Head-to-head history and recent H2H meetings give us extra context. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last three league H2Hs at the Emirates, winning two of those fixtures. Liverpool’s last victory in the pairings came elsewhere earlier this season, with a narrow 1-0 win at Anfield — so form at home slightly favours Arsenal in this matchup.

Looking at form tables, Arsenal have won seven in a row across all competitions and have been nicking wins by narrow margins recently; they scored freely but haven’t kept a clean sheet in the last four league victories. Liverpool, meanwhile, have struggled on the road of late — just one win in their last three away league matches. Both sides can score, both can concede: that’s why the goals markets are lively.

Goals scored and conceded underline the expected pattern. Arsenal’s mix of creative flair and defensive fragility means expectations should tilt towards an open game. Liverpool’s transitions and set-piece threat make them dangerous in any match. The statistics suggest a competitive, end-to-end affair rather than a cagey stalemate.

Arsenal: seven wins in a row in all competitions.
Liverpool: one win in their last three away league matches.
Recent H2H at the Emirates: Arsenal unbeaten in three league meetings (won twice).

Expected Line-ups

Arteta is likely to go fairly close to his preferred eleven. Expect Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard to be in contention for starts — both players bring width and unpredictability. The backline may feature the usual suspects with Raya in goal and a pairing of Saliba and Gabriel central, flanked by Timber and Hincapié depending on whether Arteta wants extra width or solidity.

Predicted Arsenal XI: Raya (GK); Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie; Zubimendi, Odegaard, Rice; Saka, Gyokeres, Trossard. Injuries to Riccardo Calafiori, Cristian Mosquera and Max Dowman keep them out, but the attacking resources remain intact.

On the Liverpool side, team selection could be affected by recent absences. Hugo Ekitike missed the Fulham game and remains doubtful, while Mohamed Salah is unavailable due to AFCON commitments with Egypt. Expect Klopp to lean on a midfield that can press and the usual front-line rotation to create problems down the flanks.

Predicted Liverpool XI: Alisson (GK); Bradley, Konaté, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Jones; Szoboszlai, Wirtz, Gakpo. The tactical setup will likely look to exploit fast transitions and set-piece dominance, especially if Liverpool are a goal behind and chasing the game.

How Will the Season Pan Out?

This fixture isn’t just three points; it’s a momentum-check in the title race. Arsenal’s recent run has them installed as favourites for the Premier League crown and beating high-quality opposition at home underlines their credentials. A win here would pile pressure on Manchester City and signal that Arsenal are not merely contenders but genuine favourites.

For Liverpool, the season is at a crossroads. Retaining the title looks a stretch given inconsistency and squad disruption, but top-four and European ambitions remain very much alive. A strong showing at the Emirates would re-energise their campaign; a loss would raise questions about defensive lapses and the impact of missing senior attackers.

Long-term, Arsenal look built to sustain a title challenge with a blend of youth and pragmatism, while Liverpool’s experience and coaching depth mean they should remain in the mix for honours domestically and in Europe. This match will tell us who can handle the heat of a week-night big-game scenario and which squad has the stamina for the run-in.

Final word of advice: bet sensibly, consider Arsenal to win with BTTS as the headline Tips, and watch the market for late odds changes. Those looking for a correct score can fancy 3-1 to the home side, but the safer play is the win-plus-both-teams-to-score angle — it captures the likely rhythm of this clash without overreaching.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”