Crystal Palace vs Liverpool - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Selhurst Park 27 September - 15:00

Crystal Palace

Liverpool

Recommended tip Draw

1: 3.70 X: 3.70 2: 1.91

1: 3.80 X: 3.80 2: 1.90

1: 3.86 X: 3.88 2: 1.91

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There’s a proper Saturday teatime feel to this one as Crystal Palace welcome Liverpool to Selhurst Park — two unbeaten sides who’ve started the campaign with swagger and a few surprises. Palace’s FA Community Shield triumph over Liverpool in August still stings in the Liverpool dressing room and the Eagles, sitting fifth, arrive full of confidence. Jurgen Klopp’s men, meanwhile, have been ruthless and enter as favourites on paper, but Selhurst is rarely a stroll in the park.

This fixture matters because it’s a clash of styles: Palace’s organised defence against Liverpool’s high-octane attack. Form, discipline and a couple of selection headaches will dominate the talking points. There’s also a dash of rivalry from recent cups and tight league meetings — games between these two rarely drift into a goal-fest, which feeds neatly into our Tips for the day.

For readers looking for a bookmaker guide, check out our round-up of football betting sites for the latest offers — but read on for the full pundit take, including odds, predictions and a measured look at the head to head history.

Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have Liverpool as favourites, and the market numbers reflect that. Current pre-match odds sit roughly at Home: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%, Draw: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%, Away: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4% (odds as quoted by a major bookie and subject to change). Those implied probabilities make Liverpool the clear favourites but they don’t make Palace out of it — the draw and Palace win are separated by a whisker.

From a punting point of view the market points to a tight affair. The statistical case for backing under 2.5 total goals is solid: Palace have been miserly at the back this season and Liverpool’s defence has tightened up too. Our predictions lean towards a low-scoring match; tactically, both managers can and will prioritise structure over reckless attacking abandon.

As a headline prediction I’m siding with a draw — the kind that gives neutral viewers a tense, tactical 90 minutes rather than an all-out thriller. That said, there’s value in looking at both teams to score markets and the under 2.5 goals market as a complementary tip. Use the odds to structure your stake: shorter-priced Liverpool win for a banker, under 2.5 and a 1-1 correct score for a bit more spice.

Comparison and Statistics

Recent H2H meetings between these sides have been competitive. In the last four head to head matches Liverpool have managed only a single win, making Palace a bit of a bogey opponent despite the Reds’ superior record over longer stretches. That H2H nuance matters on a damp Selhurst afternoon — Palace know how to frustrate them.

Looking at form tables, Palace have conceded just two goals so far this season, giving them one of the best defensive records in the top flight. Liverpool have been successful in putting points on the board, winning their opening five league games, but their recent matches have often ended with both teams on the scoresheet — a pattern worth noting if you’re weighing up BTTS markets.

Goals scored and conceded tell a tidy story: Palace’s compact backline and disciplined midfield choke space, while Liverpool’s wide attackers and pressing game create high-quality chances. Momentum sits with the Reds in terms of results, yet the Eagles’ home form and crowd factor at Selhurst can plug gaps and turn the game into a chess match rather than a race.

Palace defensive record: 2 goals conceded this season.
Liverpool: 5 wins from 5 in the league so far.
H2H: Liverpool have won only once in the last four meetings.

Expected Line-ups

Selection news is crucial here. Palace should be buoyed by the return of Ismaila Sarr, which gives them pace and width in attack, while Yeremy Pino’s fitness seems improved. Expected XI for Palace leans towards a 4-2-3-1 with Henderson in goal, a back four of Guehi, Richards, Lacroix and a wing-back system that sits deeper against Liverpool. Midfield discipline will be key — look for Munoz and Wharton to shield the defence and frustrate Liverpool’s rampaging full-backs.

For Liverpool, the suspension of Hugo Ekitike changes the dynamic up front. Alexander Isak is tipped to lead the line and will be hungry to build on his recent goal. Klopp is likely to deploy a 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 hybrid with Alisson in goal, a backline marshalled by Van Dijk and Konate, and a midfield pivot of Gravenberch and Mac Allister. The wide areas will be occupied by Salah and Szoboszlai with Gakpo or Isak swapping central/wing roles.

Injury and suspension bits: Palace miss Doucoure, Chadi Riad, Walter Benitez, Odsonne Edouard and Caleb Kporha to varying degrees. Liverpool will be without Ekitike through suspension but are otherwise relatively clean. Those absences could nudge both managers into more conservative setups — hence the low-scoring prediction.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This match is an early-season acid test for both camps. For Palace, beating or drawing with Liverpool cements their credentials as a top-eight side capable of European nights; maintain this defensive solidity and they’ll be in the conversation for continental qualification come May. Their fixtures are kind enough that a run without many defeats could see them consolidate a high-table position.

Liverpool, meanwhile, will see this as a barometer of their title credentials. A win keeps momentum and confidence sky-high; a draw or defeat would expose vulnerabilities and potentially hand the initiative to rivals. Klopp’s men are expected to compete at the very top, and picking up points at places like Selhurst is part-and-parcel of a serious title push.

In short, this isn’t just three points — it’s a momentum fixture. The likely outcome, in my view, is a gritty 1-1 draw that keeps Palace unbeaten and halts Liverpool’s perfect start. For punters, weigh short-priced Liverpool wins sparingly and consider combining the draw with an under 2.5 goal selection for a sensible staking plan.

HOT TIP: Under 2.5 goals looks the likeliest outcome given both teams’ defensive records and tactical setups, but the headline prediction from this preview is a draw — expect a 1-1 at full-time.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”