Everton vs Bournemouth - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Hill Dickinson Stadium 10 February - 19:30

Everton

Bournemouth

Recommended tip Draw

1: 2.32 X: 3.25 2: 3.00

1: 2.38 X: 3.25 2: 2.90

1: 2.38 X: 3.40 2: 3.00

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Get the kettle on and stick the scarf out — Tuesday’s fixture sees Everton take on Bournemouth at Hill Dickinson Stadium, a game that promises to be as competitive as the weather in February. This is not just another midweek date in the diary; it’s a crunch encounter between two sides separated by a sliver of three points and plenty of pride. Both teams arrive with momentum to protect and fans itching for three points.

Form, small margins and the season’s narrative are all on the line. Everton want to string consecutive Premier League wins for the first time in 2026, while Bournemouth have steadied the ship with an unbeaten run that will worry the home crowd. There’s a tasty tactical tussle on the cards and plenty of talking points — from attacking intent to defensive frailties — which makes our Predictions and Tips essential reading before you place a bet.

For those shopping for value, check out the roundup on football betting sites for wider markets and better prices. The odds indicate a tight affair and our preview below unpacks why a draw — with both teams chipping in — looks a very sensible punt.

Odds and Predictions

The bookmakers have labelled this a near-coin toss. The pre-match odds stand at: Home 11/8 (2.38) — a 42.1% implied probability, Draw 12/5 (3.40) — about 29.4%, and Away 15/8 (2.88) — roughly 34.8%. Those figures suggest nothing more than a competitive scrap where an edge will be decided by form on the day rather than gulf in class.

Our analysis of the bookies’ markets and domestic form leans towards a low-scoring stalemate. The hot tip — both teams to score and under 5.5 goals — carries decent value at 17/20 (1.85) and ties into the teams’ recent trends. That market neatly captures what we expect: chances at both ends but neither side likely to run riot.

In pure predictions terms, a 1–1 final score is the headline call. Everton’s home record is patchy, and Bournemouth’s away fixtures have been entertaining but defensively vulnerable at times. The odds mirror that uncertainty, and punters who favour cautious optimism should find the Draw market and BTTS-related Tips attractive.

Comparison and Statistics

History paints a jagged picture. In the last 11 competitive meetings Bournemouth have the upper hand with eight wins, but Everton claimed the most recent encounter and will be desperate to chase a league double. H2H form is intriguing — it tells you one thing on paper and another on current momentum.

Look at recent numbers: Everton have seen both teams score in five of their last six Premier League outings, with four of those producing under 5.5 goals. Bournemouth, meanwhile, have had goals at both ends in nine of their 12 away league fixtures and lead the division in first-half goal frequency, averaging 2.08 first-half goals in those away matches.

When you put the stats together, you get a recipe for an open start and a tight finish — early chances from Bournemouth’s forward intent, met by Everton’s set-piece and counter strengths. The combination of head to head trends and current form makes our predictions conservative but confident: expect goals at both ends but not a goal-fest.

Expected Line-ups

Everton should line up in a pragmatic shape that allows creative players to feed runners. With only one confirmed absentee reported — the key cog who has missed recent games — Everton’s likely XI reads: Pickford (GK), O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko, Garner, Gueye, Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye & Barry. Tactical nuance will centre on how the midfield balances protection for the back four with supply to the forward line.

Bournemouth, hampered by a cluster of injuries, will make do without several options including Justin Kluivert, Tyler Adams, and Julio Soler. Expect a 4-2-3-1 or a versatile back five-to-four shift depending on selection. Probable XI: Petrovic (GK), Jimenez, Hill, Senesi, Truffert, Scott, Cook, Rayan, Kroupi, Adli, Evanilson. Their front players like Evanilson will be tasked with exploiting any slack in Everton’s defence.

Injuries and suspensions will be decisive. Everton’s relative fitness gives them a selection edge, but Bournemouth’s enforced changes have unearthed grit this season. Tactical tweaks — Everton perhaps opting for a solid midfield pivot, Bournemouth pushing wing-backs higher — could swing the match one way or the other.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This is more than three points; it’s about momentum. For Everton, a run of positive results here could solidify a push towards European contention — they currently sit inside the top half and need consistency more than flash. Bournemouth’s squad, packed with young talent and a few experienced heads, are aiming to climb and consolidate in the top half rather than merely survive.

If Everton pick up back-to-back wins they’ll be putting pressure on rivals above and announcing themselves as genuine disruptors in the race for top-six position. Bournemouth, by contrast, will view any point gained here as a job well done and a springboard for further away results, especially given their tendency to score early in matches.

Season-long implications hinge on small margins: goal difference, head to head mini-battles and the ability to grind out points against evenly matched sides. Our broader predictions see both clubs finishing comfortably mid-table with European hopes for Everton if they keep this form; Bournemouth will quietly bank points and potentially surprise a few teams along the way.

Key Stats & Recent Form

Nine of Bournemouth’s 12 away league games have seen goals at both ends.
Bournemouth’s away matches average 2.08 first-half goals per game — the league-high.
Everton have had both teams score in five of their last six PL outings.
Everton’s recent home results have been tight: two 1–1s in their last two top-flight home matches.

Last Five Results

Everton: Fulham 1–2 Everton (W), Brighton 1–1 Everton (D), Everton 1–1 Leeds (D), Aston Villa 0–1 Everton (W), Everton 1–1 Sunderland (D).
Bournemouth: Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa (D), Wolves 0–2 Bournemouth (W), Bournemouth 3–2 Liverpool (W), Brighton 1–1 Bournemouth (D), Newcastle 4–3 Bournemouth (L).

Verdict: Expect a competitive 1–1 draw. Our Tips and Predictions favour both teams to score and under 5.5 goals — a market that reflects the odds and recent trends. Back the Draw if you want the safe, sensible punt; otherwise the BTTS + under 5.5 option offers a bit more value for the same outcome.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”