Everton vs Brentford - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Hill Dickinson Stadium 04 January - 15:00

Everton

Brentford

Recommended tip Win for Everton

1: 2.34 X: 3.25 2: 3.10

1: 2.38 X: 3.10 2: 3.00

1: 2.35 X: 3.25 2: 3.10

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Kick-off comes on Sunday when Everton welcome Brentford to Hill Dickinson Stadium, and you can bet it’ll be more than just a mid-table scrap. These two sit nose-to-tail in eighth and ninth, separated by a single point, so pride, momentum and the hunt for European spots are all on the line. It’s a tasty little fixture for neutrals and a proper six-pointer for both dugouts.

Form tells a curious tale: Everton arrive after a bright 2-0 win away at Nottingham Forest, while Brentford were held to a frustrating 0-0 at home by Tottenham. With both defences showing recent steel — BTTS hasn’t happened in Everton’s last six — this one could be tight. For readers after a shortlist of options, don’t forget to browse our football betting sites roundup for context before you stake up.

Rivalry? Not quite Old Firm stuff, but these fixtures have become increasingly competitive and predictable in an unpredictable season. Managerial tweaks, injuries and set-piece battles loom as the big talking points; both teams know a win here could kick-start a push towards the top half and keep European dreams flickering.

Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have Everton marginally on top. Current pre-match odds show the home side priced around 13/10 (2.30), the draw at 23/10 (3.30) and Brentford about 2/1 (3.00). Those implied probabilities nudge Everton ahead but hardly scream certainty — we’re looking at a classic tight Premier League market where small margins decide value.

So what do those odds tell us? They suggest a competitive affair with a slight lean to the hosts. Given Everton’s recent clean-sheet run and Brentford’s patchy away form, the betting market is factoring defence and momentum. In plain terms: backing Everton to win to nil looks tempting and neatly aligns with the defensive statistics.

My predictions blend hard numbers with a touch of punditry: Everton to edge this one 2-0. That correct score mirrors the heat of the tip in the preview — a composed Toffees performance, one or two moments of attacking quality, and a stubborn Brentford thwarted on the road. In betting speak, that’s value for those looking at match-winner and correct-score markets.

For the cautious punter, consider alternative tips: a 1-0 Everton win or the draw at decent odds if you fear an away counter. Whatever your play, keep an eye on late team news and the odds; markets move fast on short injury updates and confirmed line-ups.

Comparison and Statistics

The head-to-head form favours Everton — unbeaten in the last six H2H meetings (W3, D3) — which is no small thing when confidence counts. Brentford have shown flashes of brilliance but their away record has been shaky: five defeats from their last six away outings in all competitions is a worry when you travel to Goodison-light in January.

Digging into the numbers, Everton’s home pattern has been erratic — alternating wins and losses in their last six league fixtures at home — yet they’ve tightened up at the back recently. Brentford, meanwhile, can score freely when on it (a 4-1 smash of Bournemouth recently), but consistency away from home is the issue. Goals scored versus conceded points to a low-to-mid scoring encounter.

Additional key stats to chew on:

Everton’s last six home league games: W3, L3 — alternation is the theme.
Brentford have lost five of their last six away matches in all competitions.
Everton unbeaten in six previous meetings (W3, D3) — H2H advantage.

Those figures help explain why our predictions favour a tidy Everton win: defensive solidity at home plus a confidence boost from recent results gives them the edge.

Expected Line-ups

Team selection could be decisive. Everton may be tempted to keep a similar backline that shut out Nottingham Forest, with Jordan Pickford in goal and a defence marshalled by the experienced partnership at centre-back. Michael Keane is a doubt — he could be fit but may be eased in from the bench — so expect a cautious approach from the manager.

Midfield will likely feature the industrious summer signings and youngsters tasked with breaking up Brentford’s transitions. Creatives and set-piece threats will be relied upon to unlock a stubborn Bees defence; look out for the attacking duo preferred to find pockets between lines.

For Brentford, the return of Sepp van den Berg to the squad gives manager options — he could slot straight back into a three- or four-man defence depending on the tactical tweak. Tactically, Brentford often try to stretch opponents wide and exploit quick transitions, so their wingmen and the number 10 will be pivotal.

Predicted XIs (likely setups):

Everton: Pickford; Patterson, O’Brien, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Garner, Iroegbunam; Dibling, Rohl, Grealish; Barry.
Brentford: Kelleher; Kayode, Collins, van den Berg, Henry; Yarmolyuk, Janelt, Jensen; Schade, Thiago; Lewis-Potter.

How Will the Season Pan Out?

Context matters. A win on Sunday keeps Everton firmly in the hunt for those European fringes; a loss, and momentum takes a hit in what’s proving to be finely balanced mid-table. For Brentford, an away defeat would be a blow for their aspirations — stabilising away form must be a priority if they’re to push for higher finishes.

Looking at the bigger picture, this result could nudge either side toward a late-season surge or signal a winter hangover. Everton’s defensive improvements suggest they could climb if they turn sporadic home form into consistency. Brentford’s depth and counterattacking threat mean they’re never out of contention, but consistency away will decide their ceiling.

In short: Everton have the momentum and the H2H record; Brentford have the pace and moments of attacking quality. My confident, slightly cheeky pundit prediction? Everton to win and keep a clean sheet — the 2-0 scoreline fits the form and the bookmaker odds, and it’s the tip I’d back with a small stake.

Final tip: Everton 2-0 Brentford. Predictions and Tips are made with the data at hand — follow form, watch team news and back smartly.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”