Everton vs Newcastle - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool, Merseyside) 24 August - 14:00

Everton

Brighton

Recommended tip

1: 2.88 X: 3.30 2: 2.42

1: 2.80 X: 3.30 2: 2.45

1: 2.88 X: 3.30 2: 2.45

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The weekend serves up a tasty north-west versus north-east scrap as Everton welcome Newcastle to the recently christened Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday evening. This fixture matters — not just for the three points, but for momentum: Everton are riding a wave after their gritty win over Manchester United, while Newcastle arrive with their usual quality but well-documented away-day woes.

There’s a bit of history and a bit of heat — recent head-to-heads have been tight, low-scoring affairs and the buzz around the ground suggests both managers will set up cautiously. Form, injuries and tactics are the talking points, and punters will be looking closely at the odds before staking any cash. If you’re shopping around for value, check out the best football betting sites for acca builders and price boosts.

From a pundit’s perch this has the hallmarks of a chess match: Everton solid at home and disciplined under pressure, Newcastle slick in possession but brittle on the road. Expect a tactical tussle that could hinge on set-pieces, midfield battles and whether the Magpies can break their away slump. Our opening take leans towards a tight scoreline — the sort of game that asks for sensible Tips and measured Predictions rather than rash punts.

With kickoff at 17:30, both camps will be itching to avoid a weekend of regret. Everton want to build; Newcastle want to stop slipping. That makes this one of the more intriguing fixtures on the Premier League card.

Odds and Predictions

The market has priced this one a touch in Newcastle’s favour despite their poor recent travel record. Current prices from the bookies sit roughly at: Home 9/5 (2.80), Draw 9/4 (3.25) and Away 6/4 (2.50). Those odds point to a roughly 40% chance for an away win and a mid-30s chance for both home victory and the draw — tight margins that tell you the bookies expect a close contest.

What do the odds actually tell us? They suggest Newcastle retain the advantage on paper — squad depth, star names and recent flashes of brilliance — but they don’t fully account for Everton’s newfound home assurance. In betting terms that makes the draw and Under 2.5 goals markets attractive: value tends to hide where markets assume open play but managers prefer caution.

As a pundit I’m backing a low-scoring outcome. Our Predictions lean towards a 1-1 draw — sensible, grounded and supported by the recent H2H pattern between these clubs. For punters wanting a market pick, Under 2.5 goals looks the shrewd play; for those chasing returns, consider a correct-score 1-1 at boosted odds as a loyal, conservative tip.

Remember to weigh up injury news before you lock anything in — late absentees could nudge the odds and alter the value. The betting landscape is fluid, so keep an eye on the bookies in the hours leading up to kick-off.

Comparison and Statistics

Recent head to head form has been predictably tight. The last three meetings returned fewer than three goals and Everton have a marginal edge across the last five, registering two wins and two draws. Those H2H snippets suggest neither side habitually blows the other away — it’s rarely a goal-fest when these two meet.

Form tables echo that caution. Everton are unbeaten in their last two Premier League outings (two wins and a draw across three, if you include the United result), and have conceded fewer than two goals in their last trio of matches. Newcastle, conversely, have been patchy on the road — four straight away defeats across competitions is a red flag for any travelling support and gives the hosts a psychological edge.

Goals for and against tell the same tale: both teams can be tidy defensively but short of prolific finishing at times. Newcastle still boast midfield creativity that can unlock doors, while Everton’s transition game and set-piece threat make them dangerous at home. Momentum sits with Everton right now, but quality balances the scales.

Everton unbeaten in last two PL matches (W2, D1).
Home side conceded fewer than two goals in last three outings.
Newcastle lost their last three away league matches.
Last three H2H meetings under three goals.

Expected Line-ups

Team sheets will be fascinating. Everton are likely to stick with a structure that earned them the United scalp: a compact defensive block, a combative midfield and creative outlets flanking a front runner. With several absentees, expect Jordan Pickford in goal, a back four marshalled by Michael Keane and James Tarkowski, and a midfield featuring Joe Garner and Amadou Iroegbunam. Jack Grealish will be the creative fulcrum, operating from the left and looking to link play.

Injury news hurts Everton: Jarrad Branthwaite and Seamus Coleman are listed with hamstring problems, Idrissa Gueye is suspended after that red card, and Nathan Patterson plus Merlin Rohl are touch-and-go with groin concerns. That forces Moyes into tweaks and perhaps reliance on squad versatility rather than rotation.

Newcastle should field a familiar spine: Nick Pope between the sticks, a defensive unit with Thiaw and Burn, and Bruno Guimaraes directing midfield play alongside Tonali and Joelinton. Up front, Anthony Gordon or Miguel Almirón-style runners will be asked to stretch Everton and create pockets for the likes of Callum Wilson or Alexander Isak — depending on fitness and selection gambits.

Kieran Trippier is confirmed out with a hamstring issue; Harrison Ashby and William Osula face late tests. That reduced full-back availability could force tactical adjustments from Eddie Howe, who might opt for a conservative approach to prevent being caught on the break.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This match slots into a broader narrative. For Everton, points here are gold — they’re jostling for mid-table solidity and a platform to climb higher. A strong run of home results could drag them up the table and silence the relegation whisperers. Maintaining defensive discipline and extracting points from tight games is their route to a respectable finish.

For Newcastle, the season is about consistency and qualifying for European competition. Away-day fragility is their chief concern; if they can remedy that, the top-six race remains within reach. Lose here and momentum fizzles; win and they reinforce belief across the squad that they can grind out results even when not at their fluent best.

From a pundit’s vantage, this fixture may not decide the title or condemn anyone to the drop, but it matters in the small margins. A draw will feel like a missed opportunity to both camps — Everton for not capitalising fully at home, Newcastle for failing to silence doubters on the road — yet it’s the kind of result that often sets the tone for a run of matches.

Ultimately, expect a cagey affair that nudges Everton slightly ahead in momentum terms but leaves both teams plenty to play for. Our predictions and Tips favour a draw with under 2.5 goals — prudent, sensible and in keeping with the recent H2H trend.

Final Thoughts

Back the cautious play: a 1-1 correct-score forecast and the Under 2.5 goals market represent the clearest value. Keep tabs on late team news and the odds before you commit — markets will move and you want to be there when value appears. And if you’re hunting for a good platform to place a bet, visit the best football betting sites for competitive lines and offers.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”