Everton vs Nottm Forest - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Hill Dickinson Stadium 06 December - 15:00

Everton

Nottingham

Recommended tip Win for Nottingham Forest

1: 2.16 X: 3.15 2: 3.55

1: 2.15 X: 3.20 2: 3.50

1: 2.20 X: 3.20 2: 3.50

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Fireworks on Merseyside? This weekend Everton welcome Nottingham Forest to Goodison Park in a fixture that has more intrigue than a late transfer rumour. The timing could not be better for Sean Dyche’s men: Forest arrive in excellent nick and have the bite of a promoted side turned Premier League nuisance, while Everton are patching up the defence and hoping home comfort returns. With form and storylines in abundance, pundits and punters will be poring over the lines — and you should too.

There’s a spicy subplot as Dyche goes back into the stadium he once envisaged leading a different way; that always adds a bit of extra salt to the wounds. Both teams arrive with momentum, and the noise around predictions and Tips is loud — especially when the bookmakers’ odds don’t quite match the feel on the terraces. If you’re shopping for value, don’t forget to compare markets and trusted resources like football betting sites before placing a bet.

Form, injuries and tactical tweaks will decide this one. Everton’s recent home fragility contrasts with Forest’s impressive road results, so there’s plenty to chew over. Fans can expect a cagey opening followed by a decisive moment — as most Premier League late-afternoon kick-offs tend to provide.

Odds and Predictions

The pre-game odds show Everton as favourites, but the market suggests a tight game. Bookmakers have Everton at 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5% implied probability, the draw at 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%, and Nottingham Forest at 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6% (odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change). Those numbers paint the Toffees as marginal favourites, yet you can see why some punters are drawn to an away punt.

From a pundit’s point of view, the odds understate Forest’s recent run. Four wins in five in the Premier League is no accident and suggests momentum that the numbers aren’t fully pricing. That’s where live markets and in-play shifts can be gold — especially if Forest start on the front foot. Our predictions lean toward a narrow Forest win, but expect a low-scoring, tense encounter; the corrected scoreline in our view is 0-1 to the visitors.

There’s value in multiple markets here: a straight Win for Nottingham Forest is the hot tip, but consider also the under 2.5 goals market and a Forest half-time/away full-time double if the price is right. When the crowd hums and the defensive absentees show up, matches like this often stay tight — so the odds on a low-scoring upset are attractive.

Comparison and Statistics

Head-to-head history gives both sides talking points. The recent H2H runs slightly in Everton’s favour with three wins from the last four clashes, but context matters: football moves fast and recent form often outruns historical data. The last time these teams met on Merseyside the visitors left with a win, so Goodison is no guaranteed fortress for the blues.

Look at the numbers: Forest have won both of their last two Premier League away matches and arrive with confidence after a 3-0 statement win at Anfield a few weeks ago. Everton, meanwhile, have lost two of their last three home league fixtures and have seen fewer than three goals in four of their last five matches — that under-3s trend supports our cautious predictions.

Momentum-wise, Forest’s attacking transitions and set-piece threat under Dyche have been key. Everton are shakier at the back without key defenders, which shows in expected goals conceded and frailty on crosses. Use these stats to inform smart Tips rather than emotional bets — the H2H and head to head stats are one part of the picture, form and injuries the other.

Expected Line-ups

In team news Everton are stretched defensively. With Jarrad Branthwaite, Seamus Coleman and Michael Keane out, and Idrissa Gueye suspended, David Moyes may have to reshuffle. A likely XI could see Pickford in goal, a back three or four patched up with Tarkowski and O’Brien, Mykolenko at left-back, and a midfield mix of Alcaraz, Dewsbury-Hall and McNeil supplying the pace and trickery. Attack likely to be led by Grealish and Barry playing off a central striker.

Predicted Everton lineup: Pickford (GK), Garner, O’Brien, Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Alcaraz, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye, McNeil, Grealish, Barry.

Forest have their own fitness worries. Sean Dyche is waiting on Murillo’s fitness after he missed the midweek outing. Injuries to the likes of Douglas Luiz and Awoniyi complicate selection, but Dyche’s system often copes with personnel changes through structure. Expect a compact backline, Sangare sitting in midfield, and Hudson-Odoi plus Gibbs-White providing the trickery ahead.

Predicted Nottingham Forest lineup: Sels (GK), Savona, Milenkovic, Morato, Williams, Anderson, Sangare, Ndoye, Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi, Jesus.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This game is more than three points — it’s a momentum shaper. For Everton, slipping up at home would heap pressure on Moyes and could nudge their season into a nervy mid-table scrap rather than a push for the European places. For Forest, a win here would underline a genuine top-half ambition and reinforce confidence for the run-in.

If Forest keep producing results like their recent run, they’ll be in the conversation for comfortable mid-table security or a late dash at the top half. Everton need defensive reinforcements and consistent home form to reassert themselves; otherwise, their season could plateau into repairs and reaction rather than progression.

Long-term, this fixture tells you more about squad depth than immediate quality — injuries and suspension exposure here will reveal which club has planned better for a gruelling campaign. Our overall Predictions for the season tilt towards Forest continuing their upward curve while Everton will be fighting for stability unless personnel return and form improves quickly.

Key stats reminder:

Nottingham Forest have won both of their last two Premier League away matches.
Everton have lost two of their last three Premier League home matches.
Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Everton’s last five matches.

Last five results (quick glance):

Bournemouth 0-1 Everton
Everton 1-4 Newcastle
Man Utd 0-1 Everton
Everton 2-0 Fulham
Sunderland 1-1 Everton

And Forest:

Wolves 0-1 Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest 0-2 Brighton
Nottingham Forest 3-0 Malmo
Liverpool 0-3 Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest 3-1 Leeds

Final thought: back the visitor on a narrow scoreline. Nottingham Forest look like the team with momentum, and the odds offer tidy value for a side that has been turning heads. Keep bets sensible, shop the markets and enjoy the spectacle — Goodison on a cold December afternoon promises a proper contest.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”