Everton vs Wolverhampton - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Hill Dickinson Stadium 07 January - 19:30

Everton

Wolves

Recommended tip Draw

1: 1.91 X: 3.35 2: 4.20

1: 1.85 X: 3.30 2: 4.00

1: 1.85 X: 3.50 2: 4.33

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It’s midweek Premier League theatre as Everton welcome Wolverhampton to Hill Dickinson Stadium on Wednesday night. There’s a bit more than three points at stake — pride, momentum and, for both sides, a shove away from the relegation worry-list. The Toffees will be anxious to bounce back after that bruising 4-2 defeat to Brentford, while Wolves arrive with renewed belief after finally landing their first league win of the season.

The form lines are jagged. Everton have stumbled at home of late, and Wolves have shown they can nick results when the pressure’s on — they’ve scored in five of their last six. This one carries a touch of cup final tension for survival and the head-to-head history adds an extra edge. If you’re hunting for smart Predictions and Tips, keep your wits about you; this fixture promises goals and a tight finish.

For a sharp look at markets before you stake, don’t forget to check the best football betting sites for odds and offers. We’ll chew through the numbers, the likely XI, the head-to-head trends and serve up a clear betting verdict — with the usual pundit banter thrown in for good measure.

BTTS has been flashing on the radar for this game and our feel is that both teams will find the net. Expect a competitive, end-to-end 90 minutes rather than a stale stalemate.

Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have Everton as the favourites but the margins are telling — the market suggests a tight affair rather than a runaway. Pre-game odds listed Everton at 3/4 (1.75) — an implied probability of about 57.1% — the draw priced at 13/5 (3.60) or 27.8%, and Wolves trading 18/5 (4.60) at 21.7%. These odds underline that punters and bookies see a home edge, but not one that guarantees a comfortable win.

From a betting perspective the numbers say: back Everton to win if you want safety, but there’s value in markets that anticipate goals — BTTS, over 2.5 and a 1-1 correct score are all sensible lines to consider. Our predictions lean to a draw: both sides have shown defensive frailties and attacking intent, a recipe for both teams scoring and a share of the spoils.

In plain terms, the odds imply Everton are favourites but not untouchable. Wolves’ recent win and their attacking runs make them dangerous on the break. For those after Tips, a small stake on BTTS and the draw, or a double covering 1-1 and BTTS Yes, looks shrewd without overcommitting.

Comparison and Statistics

Head-to-head (H2H) history gives this fixture an intriguing tilt. Everton had lost three of their previous home meetings against Wolves — although you should factor in that those took place at Goodison Park, a different chapter in Everton’s story. Recent H2H results have been tight, with narrow margins and goals at both ends.

Form tables paint a wobbly picture for both clubs. Everton’s recent home record shows three defeats in four, while Wolves have picked up four points in their last two league matches and scored in five of six. Goals scored and conceded for both teams suggest matches are open: Everton have been vulnerable at the back, Brentford’s four-goal afternoon a case in point, and Wolves have been clinical on the odd occasion they get space.

Look at momentum: Wolves’ 3-0 win over West Ham will have done the squad confidence the world of good, while Everton’s mix of draws and defeats at home shows a side yet to find consistent rhythm. Statistically, expect at least two goals and a game decided by small margins — the raw numbers favour BTTS and a close scoreline.

Key stats to remember:

Everton have lost three of their last four home games.
Wolves have scored in five of their last six matches.
Everton lost three previous home H2Hs against Wolves (Goodison era).

Expected Line-ups

Team news is crucial. Everton have no fresh concerns but are missing Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye at AFCON with Senegal, which bites into midfield and attacking options. Manager will likely go with Pickford in goal behind a back four, with Tarkowski and Keane expected to marshal the defence. Midfield may feature Garner pulling the strings with Iroegbunam offering legs, and the attack will need Rohl and Grealish to spark chances.

Projected Everton XI: Pickford; O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko; Iroegbunam, Garner; Dibling, Rohl, Grealish; Barry.

Wolves also have absences with Emmanuel Agbadou at AFCON and doubts over Hwang Hee-chan and Joao Gomes. Expect Sa between the sticks and a backline marshalled by Mosquera and Doherty. Up front, Wolves could go with pace and physicality — Arokodare and Strand Larsen pose aerial threats while Mane provides forward craft.

Projected Wolves XI: Sa; Mosquera, Doherty, Krejci; Tchatchoua, Arias, Andre, Mane, Bueno; Arokodare, Strand Larsen.

These line-ups suggest tactical battles across midfield will decide the tempo. Everton will try to dominate possession and force Wolves wide, while Wolves will look to hit on the counter and capitalise on set-piece chances.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This fixture sits neatly in the broader narrative of the season. Everton are eyeing a climb back into mid-table security; the Toffees must turn home form around to avoid being dragged into a prolonged relegation scrap. Wolves, conversely, are fighting for stability and every point away from home counts twice in this market.

For Everton, a win here would be a statement and could spark a half-season revival. Failure to collect points would leave them with work to do in the January window. Wolves, if they pick up anything from this trip, will view it as evidence their season is far from done and could be the platform for survival pushes.

Looking at the bigger picture, both clubs are likely to finish in the lower half of the table battle this season unless performances stabilise. Our pundit take? These midweek scraps shape the narrative more than headline-grabbing cup ties — a draw here keeps both sides ticking over, while a narrow Wolves win would be a seismic morale boost.

Final call: expect a tight, competitive 1-1. That means both teams snag goals and neither takes full control — a draw that feels like a fair result on the evidence and a sensible option for punters seeking value.

Tip: Draw | Hot tip: BTTS – Yes

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”