Everton vs Wolverhampton - Betting Tips & Predictions.

07 January - 19:30

Everton

Wolves

Recommended tip Draw

1: 1.87 X: 3.50 2: 4.20

1: 1.80 X: 3.30 2: 4.60

1: 1.83 X: 3.50 2: 4.50

#AD, 18+ T&C apply!

There’s a proper midweek grumble on the cards as Everton welcome Wolverhampton to Hill Dickinson Stadium on Wednesday evening. This one matters for both — Everton want to steady the ship after a humbling defeat at home, while Wolves will carry belief from a rare league win as they attempt to climb out of trouble.

Form and pride are up for grabs, and the fixture has that low-key, sweaty tension you get when two sides fighting for momentum meet. The Toffees have been patchy at their new home and Wolves, despite being bottom-dwellers for much of the season, have shown flashes of threat. Expect niggly midfield battles and moments of end-to-end chaos rather than an elegant encounter.

Punters will be eyeing the odds and the BTTS chatter — the Wanderers have found the net in five of their last six, and Everton’s leaky recent defensive record won’t have the bookies sleeping easy. If you’re shopping around, don’t forget to check the top football betting sites for the best value before you back anything; small margins make a difference.

In short: a crunch clash with little between the sides on paper, but plenty to play for on the pitch. Expect a competitive 90 minutes and a result that keeps both camps talking for the rest of the week.

Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have Everton as favourites — the market has them around 3/4 (1.75) with the draw near 13/5 (3.60) and Wolves priced about 18/5 (4.60). Those odds suggest a clear home lean, but the implied probabilities tell a more nuanced story: the bookies give Everton roughly a 57% chance, the draw about 28% and Wolves circa 22%.

Odds aside, I’m siding with caution rather than bravado. Wolves’ recent win means they arrive with belief, and Everton’s defensive wobble leaves a chink that visitors can exploit. My predictions are tempered: a close scoreline, both teams likely to score and a draw looks the most sensible outcome — the 1-1 correct score is a tidy middle ground.

For punters who like a touch more drama, backing BTTS (Both Teams To Score) carries appeal — Wolves have been finding the net regularly and Everton’s attack still packs a punch despite their defensive woes. If you want value outright, the draw offers reasonable returns; if you prefer smaller returns with more safety, Everton to win at slightly shorter odds remains understandable.

Remember: odds move and markets react to team news and in-play developments. Keep an eye on line-up confirmations and any late injury updates before committing to a stake.

Comparison and Statistics

Head to head history favours Wolves in recent meetings, with Everton having lost three of their previous home H2H encounters. Admittedly some of those were at Goodison Park rather than the new venue, but the trend is worth noting — Wolves have not been fazed historically when visiting Everton-affiliated grounds.

Looking at form, Everton have lost three of their last four home matches and conceded multiple goals recently, which is a concern. Wolves, meanwhile, have picked up four points from their last two league outings and scored in five of their last six fixtures, showing they’re not bereft of attacking endeavour.

Everton: Poor recent home form, vulnerability at the back.
Wolves: Scoring threat present, improving momentum after last win.
H2H: Wolves have enjoyed recent success on Everton’s turf.

Stats favour a tight, competitive affair. Expect a game with chances at both ends rather than a one-sided battering. The head-to-head trend and Wolves’ tendency to score mean BTTS is a strong betting angle, while a low-scoring draw fits the overall narrative.

Expected Line-ups

Everton come into the match without fresh concerns but are still missing a couple of key names to AFCON — that affects selection depth. The likely starters look something like Pickford in goal, O’Brien and Tarkowski holding the centre-back positions with Keane alongside; Mykolenko at left-back. Midfield could feature Iroegbunam and Garner, while the attack might revolve around Dibling, Rohl, Grealish and Barry.

Wolves are still short with Emmanuel Agbadou at AFCON and doubts over Hwang Hee-chan and Joao Gomes. Expect Sa in goal with Mosquera and Doherty in the backline and Krejci slotting in as needed. Their midfield mix of Tchatchoua, Arias and Andre will aim to plug the gaps and support the attacking duo — Arokodare and Strand Larsen have been the focal points up front when available.

Tactically, Everton will likely set up to press high and regain control of midfield, but their backline will be tested by direct runs and set-piece threat from Wolves. Wolves may opt for a compact defensive shape and quick transitions, looking to hit Everton on the counter where space opens up between the midfield lines.

Late team news could tilt the balance — the final call on Hwang or Gomes will influence Wolves’ attacking setup, while any defensive absentee for Everton would swing the match toward more open play and increase the chances of both teams scoring.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This fixture is more than three points — it’s a momentum contest. For Everton, failure to pick up points at home compounds pressure on the manager and could see confidence drain from the squad. A point here would steady the ship and keep them in touch of the mid-table tussle; a loss would intensify the malaise and fan unease.

For Wolves, avoiding defeat would be a small but crucial lifeline in a relegation battle that looks like it might go the distance. Consistent results over the next block of fixtures could drag them clear of real danger; slip-ups and inactivity in the transfer window would make survival much harder.

On a wider scale, this season looks set to be a two-tier affair: the title contenders and the scrap at the bottom. Matches like Everton vs Wolves will define the latter half of the table — seven to ten points picked up in clashes between fellow strugglers can be decisive come May.

Final call from the pundit’s chair: play the draw for a solid result and consider BTTS if you’re after a bit more excitement. This one smells of midfield tussle, late equaliser possibilities and a scoreboard that refuses to tilt decisively either way.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”