Fulham vs Everton - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Craven Cottage 07 February - 15:00

Fulham

Everton

Recommended tip Draw

1: 2.05 X: 3.10 2: 3.60

1: 2.08 X: 3.30 2: 3.65

1: 2.05 X: 3.40 2: 3.75

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There’s a proper London atmosphere brewing as Fulham welcome Everton to Craven Cottage this Saturday. This isn’t just another fixture on the calendar — both sides sit on the same points, separated only by goals scored, and this tie feels like the sort that will be decided by small margins and big moments.

Form can lie and form can tell the truth; here it’s a bit of both. Fulham have been tidy at home while Everton under David Moyes have become the kings of the stalemate. If you’re shopping around for value on the day, our quick round-up of the best market movers is a good place to start — see the football betting sites for more. This is a meeting that will have fans and punters chatting long after the final whistle.

Rivalry? Maybe not the old-school hatefest, but there’s plenty to play for. European ambition sits within touching distance and neither side can afford to fall behind in the race for mid-table respectability. Expect intensity, graft, and goal-mouth scrambles rather than a tactical sermon.

Odds and Predictions

The bookmakers have Fulham marginally ahead but nothing to write home about. Ladbrokes have priced the match as follows: Home 21/20 (2.05) — 48.8%, Draw 23/10 (3.30) — 30.3%, Away 13/5 (3.60) — 27.8%. Those odds reflect two teams who feel evenly matched on paper and in personality.

From a markets perspective, the odds suggest a low-to-mid scoring affair. With both teams on 34 points and identical goal difference, the probability of a deadlock is significant. Our predictions lean towards neither side taking the full spoils — this one looks cursed to finish level.

For punters who like a touch of banter with their balance sheet, consider a draw or a low-scoring correct score. The call from the commentary box? A 1-1 draw. That selection marries the match tempo with the defensive resilience both teams have shown this term.

Of course, odds will move as team news filters through and the market reacts. Keep an eye on the goal-line and the early team sheets — small absences can swing both the market and the match by a fair bit. Our Tips stay conservative: back a share of the points and look at under 2.5 goals if you want to hedge delightfully.

Comparison and Statistics

Head-to-head (H2H) history slightly favours Everton in recent encounters. Fulham have managed just one win in nine home H2H meetings with the Toffees — the rest are a mix of defeats and draws. Recent meetings have yielded tight scores and three of the last five finished all square.

When you dig into the form tables, both teams are neck-and-neck: 34 points apiece, goal difference sitting at minus one for each side. Fulham have the edge in goals scored, which is the thin thread keeping them above Everton in some reckonings. Everton, conversely, have been stubborn and hard to break down on the road.

Recent runs tell their own story. Fulham have lost just twice in their last nine Premier League outings, picking up five wins. Everton’s away resilience is noteworthy — they’ve avoided defeat in their last four trips. Stat-minded punters should note the frequency of draws under Moyes: the Toffees have drawn a remarkable number of games since his return.

Key stats at a glance:

Fulham have scored in 11 of their 12 home matches this season.
Five of Fulham’s last six games saw both teams score.
Everton have recorded three draws in their last four league matches.

Expected Line-ups

Selection and shape will be crucial here. For Fulham, the predicted XI looks likely to be a 4-2-3-1 with the spine of the side well established. Oscar Bobb’s late arrival in January won’t change things immediately while Rodrigo Muniz and Sasa Lukic are doubts, so expect continuity rather than revolution.

Fulham predicted starting XI: Leno; Castagne, Andersen, Bassey, Robinson; Iwobi, Berge; Wilson, Smith Rowe, Chukwueze; Jimenez. The full-backs will be asked to provide width, while the midfield double should look to stifle Everton’s transitions.

Everton may set up compactly and try to nick something on the break. Vitaliy Mykolenko is a doubt after picking up a knock, which could see adjustments on the left. There are talk of reinforcement in January, and Moyes will rely on experience to see them through a tricky trip.

Everton predicted starting XI: Pickford; O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Branthwaite; Gueye, Garner; Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye; Barry. Watch the battle in midfield — whoever gets the upper hand there could control the tempo and the chances created.

How Will the Season Pan Out

Put simply: this game matters. It’s not just three points, it’s momentum. A win for either side would push them closer to the European conversation; a draw keeps the status quo but does little to quiet questions about ambition. With fifth place only six points away, there’s still a thread of hope for both camps.

If Fulham can turn Craven Cottage into a fortress for the run-in they’ll be in a strong position to chase the top half or even a surprise tilt at Europe. Everton’s season has been characterised by resilience rather than flair — keeping draws ticking over has stabilised their campaign, but wins are required to make a real leap up the table.

Long term, the fixture could be a pivot. A Fulham win could spark a run that cements their upward trajectory; an Everton success might provide Moyes with the breathing room to chase higher targets. Yet the likeliest outcome remains a draw — pragmatic, stubborn and very much in character with both sides this season.

Final thought for the readers and punters: temper optimism with realism. This is a match for cautious predictions and sensible staking. Expect a tight 1-1 and keep your accumulator ambitions realistic — sometimes the safe money is the clever money.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”