Liverpool vs Aston Villa - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Anfield 01 November - 20:00

Liverpool

Aston Villa

Recommended tip Draw

1: 1.61 X: 4.35 2: 4.75

1: 1.62 X: 4.20 2: 4.80

1: 1.62 X: 4.50 2: 4.50

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There’s a proper high-stakes atmosphere building as Liverpool welcome Aston Villa to Anfield on Saturday evening. The Merseysiders arrive under a cloud — Arne Slot’s seat is hot and results have been patchy — while Villa stride in with renewed confidence after a mid-season bounce. This one matters: pride, points and momentum are all up for grabs and fans on both sides will be bracing for a raucous encounter.

The form book makes for spicy reading. Liverpool have shipped goals with unnerving regularity, and Villa’s front line has rediscovered its scoring touch. There’s no love lost between these two, and the tactical chess between Slot and Unai Emery will be a major talking point. For readers after our latest tips and broader coverage, check out our selection of football betting sites for more angles and markets.

Expect a full-blooded affair at Anfield — one that could tilt either way but will certainly entertain. Both sets of supporters know how much is at stake in a fixture that has produced fireworks in recent years, and the weight of history will add an extra edge to proceedings.

Odds and Predictions

The bookies make Liverpool favourites, and on paper the home win odds reflect that. Those pre-game odds suggest the hosts are the side most likely to grind out three points, but recent form tells a different story. Liverpool’s defensive frailties (and rotation headaches) dilute their apparent superiority, while Villa’s confidence on the road has risen after some eye-catching wins.

Let’s be frank: the odds don’t always tell the whole truth. Odds are a snapshot of probability and betting volumes, not destiny, and with Villa’s attacking verve versus Liverpool’s leaky backline, a tight, high-scoring draw is well within the realms of possibility. My predictions lean toward a draw with both teams scoring — entertaining for neutrals, nerve-jangling for managers.

Punters looking for markets might consider both teams to score and over 2.5 goals as realistic options. If you’re after a result pick, the bookies’ favourite is understandable, but this is the sort of fixture where emotion and momentum can trump form tables. In short: back the spectacle, be wary of backing a narrow Liverpool win at short odds.

Comparison and Statistics

When we dig into the H2H and head to head numbers, Liverpool have edged Villa in recent meetings. Historically, the Reds have dominated at Anfield, but Villa’s latest visits have been tougher — recent matches have produced goals and drama rather than routine victories.

Key stats to note:

Liverpool have conceded in each of their last 10 matches and allowed 14 goals in seven Premier League games.
Aston Villa have hit at least two goals in four of their last six outings, showing real attacking bite.
The clubs’ last few encounters: a 2-2 draw at Villa Park and a 2-0 Liverpool win at Anfield in November 2024; overall, Anfield has been a favourable ground for the hosts.

Form tables underline the tale: Liverpool sit in the top half but are short of consistency, while Villa sit close by and carry momentum after a string of wins. Defence vs attack is the obvious clash; Liverpool’s goals conceded per game is a glaring concern and gives Emery a platform to exploit with quick transitions and movement in the final third.

Expected Line-ups

Both managers have selection dilemmas. Slot tinkered heavily in midweek, so expect him to name a stronger XI on Saturday. If fit, Mohamed Salah and Florian Wirtz should spearhead Liverpool’s attack with Gakpo and Ekitike offering support. The defensive quartet will likely include Van Dijk alongside Konaté, with the full-backs asked to balance attack and cover.

Predicted Liverpool XI: Mamardashvili; Bradley, Konaté, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Szoboszlai, Szoboszlai (note: rotation possible); Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo, Ekitike. (Managers often shuffle midfield roles, so expect small tweaks.)

Villa’s template under Emery is more settled — a tight back four, industrious midfield and pace up front. Ollie Watkins is the obvious threat, supported by Douglas Luiz or John McGinn pulling strings in midfield. Unai Emery tends to set up his team to press intelligently and hit teams on the break.

Predicted Villa XI: Martínez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Onana, Kamara, McGinn; Malen, Rogers, Watkins. Watch for any late injury news—both sides may rest players after cup commitments, which could swing the contest.

How Will the Season Pan Out?

This fixture is a flavour of the campaigns to come. For Liverpool it’s about steadying the ship — there’s still plenty of season to turn things around, but the pressure is real. A poor run here would heap more scrutiny on tactics and transfers, whereas a solid result could buy Slot breathing room.

Villa, meanwhile, can use this as a statement. If Emery’s men nick a result at Anfield it cements their credentials as dark horses for European places; it’d also underline how resilient they’ve become after a shaky start. Their squad depth and attacking options make them dangerous in the long run.

Looking further ahead, both clubs will target top-four consolidation and sustained European football. Liverpool must shore up a leaky defence to be genuine title contenders, while Villa will focus on consistency to push into the upper echelons. This game won’t decide everything, but it will shape narratives and momentum — and in football, momentum matters.

Player to watch: Florian Wirtz. Signed for a club-record sum, he’s yet to fully repay that investment in goal contributions but his creativity could be decisive if he finds space between Villa’s lines. Keep an eye on him; big nights create headlines.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”