Liverpool vs Newcastle - Betting Tips & Predictions.

31 January - 20:00

Liverpool

Newcastle

Recommended tip Win for Liverpool

1: 1.79 X: 3.90 2: 3.95

1: 1.75 X: 3.80 2: 4.00

1: 1.75 X: 4.00 2: 4.20

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This Saturday at Anfield the lights will be bright and the stakes higher than a Saturday night at the bookies as Liverpool welcome Newcastle for a fixture that could have a real say in the top-half scramble. Both clubs need points like teenagers need Wi-Fi — Liverpool to climb back into Champions League contention, Newcastle to push up and leapfrog their rivals. There’s history, heat and a few selection headaches to keep managers and punters up late.

Form has been patchy for both sides, which is why this game smells like a classic Anfield scrap. The rivals bring contrasting moods: Liverpool buoyed by a midweek goal-fest in Europe, Newcastle carrying the weight of a mixed domestic campaign. Expect passion, frantic end-to-end moments and plenty for the markets to chew over.

There is rivalry in the air even if it isn’t the oldest of feuds — recent results show dominance for one side and a psychological edge that matters. With injuries to key defenders and returning midfield generals, managers will tinker. For those after more context and a few pointers check our football betting sites for broader Tips and previews across the weekend.

Odds and Predictions

The pre-match odds paint a picture of a tight but tilted contest. Bookmakers have Liverpool as favourites, and the numbers suggest value if you fancy the home side to nick it. Odds, as ever, are a snapshot — they reflect public money, form and injury whispers. The Ladbrokes lines put the Reds in the driving seat and rightly so given recent H2H history.

From a betting perspective, backing Liverpool to win looks sensible: they’ve converted possession and chances at Anfield more reliably than Newcastle away this season. That said, the draw market isn’t absurd — both teams have shown an ability to frustrate — so if you prefer safety, a draw or double chance covers your back. Our Predictions lean towards an entertaining 2-1 home success, which also offers decent value against tighter markets.

For punters after a little extra spice, look for player-based markets — any team news around key midfield returnees will move the lines. Keep an eye on in-play odds if the game opens up early; a single counter-attack could alter both the script and your staking plan. Our tip remains clear: go small-and-smart on Liverpool in regulation time.

Comparison and Statistics

If you like cold, hard facts there’s plenty to snack on. The H2H — head to head — ledger in recent Premier League meetings heavily favours Liverpool. They’ve won eight of the last nine league clashes, which gives the home crowd both confidence and a slight psychological edge. Newcastle’s last victory at Anfield dates back decades, so history is painting the Magpies as underdogs.

Form tables tell another side of the story: Liverpool have been more mercurial across competitions but picked up some big wins, including that 6-0 in Europe, which boosts goal difference and belief. Newcastle away form has been wobbly — nine non-wins in 11 away outings this season underline an inability to translate home character into trips. Goals-for and goals-against numbers suggest Liverpool create higher-quality chances, while Newcastle rely on compact organisation and counters.

Key stats to note:

Recent H2H dominance: Liverpool 8 wins in last 9 league meetings.
Newcastle’s poor away returns this season: multiple draws and defeats on the road.
Both teams have been scoring and conceding in recent Liverpool fixtures — expect goals.

Expected Line-ups

Both managers will be juggling fitness and tactics. Liverpool’s defensive list is looking troubled with a few names carrying knocks; that could force a slightly more cautious starting XI from the hosts. Expect a 4-3-3 or a 4-2-3-1 with a balanced midfield to protect the backline and supply a front three who can punish space.

Predicted Liverpool starting XI: Alisson (GK), Szoboszlai, Endo, Van Dijk, Kerkez, Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Gakpo, Wirtz, Salah, Ekitike. Watch the fitness of the defenders closely — any late withdrawals would invite tactical tweaks and could make the market friendlier to Newcastle.

Newcastle will likely set up to frustrate and hit on the break. With Bruno Guimaraes back in contention, the midfield gains a conductor who can unlock plays; however missing names at the back will force changes. Expect a sturdy back three or two with wing-backs depending on the manager’s mood.

Predicted Newcastle starting XI: Pope (GK), Thiaw, Botman, Burn, Trippier, Guimaraes, Tonali, Hall, Barnes, Wissa, Gordon. Keep an eye on Joelinton and Livramento — their absences shape Newcastle’s pressing and ball-retention strategies.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This fixture is more than three points on a chart — it’s a momentum test. For Liverpool, a win tightens the race for that coveted Champions League qualification and keeps pressure on those above. For Newcastle, a positive result could catalyse a late push into the top six, but a slip here would be a damper on confidence and European ambitions.

Over the long run, Liverpool’s squad depth and attacking firepower mean they’re likelier to grind out results in tight fixtures. Newcastle’s trajectory depends on defensive consistency and the fitness of their creative engine. If Bruno stays fit and the backline shores up, the Magpies have the tools for a robust finish to the season.

Realistically, this match won’t decide the title, but it will signal intent. A Liverpool win says the Reds are serious about reclaiming Champions League ground; a Newcastle upset points to a side ready to gatecrash the top-six conversation. Our broader Tips for the campaign are simple: back consistency, monitor injuries, and follow form rather than flair.

Final short prediction: expect a hard-fought 2-1 victory for Liverpool — a scoreline that marries historical H2H trends with current form. Odds and markets suggest the home win is the cleanest play, so stake sensibly and enjoy the theatre.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”