Liverpool vs West Ham United - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Anfield 28 February - 15:00

Liverpool

West Ham

Recommended tip Win for Liverpool

1: 1.39 X: 4.75 2: 7.00

1: 1.40 X: 4.80 2: 6.50

1: 1.40 X: 5.00 2: 7.00

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There’s a proper old-school Premier League feeling about this one as Liverpool welcome West Ham United to Anfield on Saturday afternoon. The fixture matters: Liverpool are scurrying for Champions League qualification and every point is like gold dust, while West Ham are scrapping for survival and will see Anfield as a chance for a statement result. Expect noise, pace and a few heated moments — this isn’t a game for the faint-hearted.

Form lines suggest a clash of momentum versus menace. The Reds have been grinding out results and playing with a bit of swagger, whereas West Ham have shown resilience on the road and at home in recent weeks. With goals likely and drama inevitable, punters will be eyeing both the match result and the market for big-score markets. If you’re shopping around for a price, check out a shortlist of football betting sites before you stake — the best value can change in minutes.

Talking points are abundant: who will break through defensively for Liverpool, which Hammers player will muster the magic to drag his side out of trouble, and whether this tie will follow the recent high-scoring trend between these clubs. In short, it’s a must-watch for neutrals and a must-bet for the data heads who like their Predictions and Tips with a side of bravado.

Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have priced Liverpool up as clear favourites. Current pre-game odds sit around HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%, DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%, AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%. Those implied probabilities tell you what you already suspect: the market trusts the Reds at Anfield, but the margin between a draw and a West Ham shock is tighter than you might think.

From a betting perspective the odds suggest backing Liverpool for the three points is the safe play, but value may lurk elsewhere. The recent head-to-head figures and both teams’ goal returns point us towards a match with plenty of goals, so Over 3.5 total goals is a tempting angle — and it’s our hot tip for this fixture. Combining a Liverpool win with a high total-goals market is the kind of double that makes sense on paper and in the pub.

So, how do our predictions shape up? Expect Liverpool to win but not without concessions; a 3-1 correct score feels about right given West Ham’s threat on the break and Liverpool’s attacking firepower. That gives you the straightforward match tip and a secondary market to consider for extra value.

To be clear: odds reflect probability but not inevitability. If you like a bit more risk, the away victory market offers strong returns, and if you’re after goals rather than result provenance, betting on Over 3.5 goals is the pick of the day.

Comparison and Statistics

Recent H2H history heavily favours Liverpool. The last five H2Hs have averaged four goals per game and Liverpool have won the previous four meetings — a psychological edge if you believe in the little things that tilt games. West Ham, though, aren’t pushovers and have shown they can nick results when Liverpool are a touch rusty.

Look at form tables and numbers: Liverpool have won five of their last six in all competitions and generally score with regularity at home. West Ham come in unbeaten in four across competitions (W2, D2), but their defensive record has been patchy, which opens the door to an end-to-end contest. Both teams have individuals capable of changing the game in a flash, so statistics point to excitement rather than a dour stalemate.

Goals scored and conceded are the real story here. Liverpool’s attack averages healthy returns per match while their centre-backs have been tested against swift counters. West Ham score enough to be dangerous but concede enough to make high totals plausible. If you like H2H angles and head to head patterns, this fixture ticks plenty of boxes for goals and a likely home victory.

Liverpool have won 4 of the last 4 H2H.
Last five H2Hs averaged 4 goals per game.
Liverpool: 5 wins in last 6 matches (all comps).
West Ham: 4-match unbeaten run (W2, D2).

Expected Line-ups

The predicted XI for Liverpool looks familiar and structured to attack: Alisson between the sticks; a back four of Szoboszlai, Konate, Van Dijk and Kerkez; a midfield trio of Gravenberch, Mac Allister and Jones; and a front three of Salah, Ekitike and Gakpo. That system gives Liverpool width, pressing power and an ability to overload the final third.

Injury concerns could nudge selection — Florian Wirtz is reported as a doubt after pulling out of the warm-up last time, and long-term absentees like Jeremie Frimpong and Alexander Isak remain unavailable. Those absences might force slight tactical tweaks but not a wholesale change in approach.

West Ham’s likely eleven is Hermansen in goal; a back four of Wan-Bissaka, Mavropanos, Disasi and Diouf; midfield featuring Fernandes and Magassa; and a forward line with Bowen, Soucek, Summerville and Castellanos. Suspension for Freddie Potts and injury to Pablo Felipe weaken their options and could see West Ham adopt a compact shape with intent to hit on the counter.

Tactically expect Liverpool to press high and look to pin West Ham wide, while West Ham will probably sit a touch deeper and try to spring quick transitions. Those setups favour a fast, open game — which again feeds into both our predictions and the Over 3.5 goals tip.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This match might not decide the title, but it will influence momentum. For Liverpool, picking up three points would solidify their push for Champions League qualification and keep pressure on the top four. Dropping points here would be a minor wobble but one they can ill afford with rivals breathing down their necks.

For West Ham, every point is survival currency. A shock at Anfield could lift them out of the relegation mire and spark a late revival; a loss would deepen the pressure in a season where margins are tight. Their campaign hinges on squeezing results from tricky fixtures and avoiding capitulation against the big sides.

Looking ahead, Liverpool have the squad depth to sustain a challenge across competitions if injuries don’t bite. West Ham need to shore up defensively and eke out draws on the road to accumulate enough points. Realistically, this game is more critical to West Ham’s survival hopes than Liverpool’s campaign, but the psychological boost of a win would matter to both.

Final word: back Liverpool to take the three points, but don’t be surprised to see goals — and plenty of them. Our tip is simple: Win for Liverpool, with Over 3.5 goals an attractive secondary play for anyone who fancies a bit of extra excitement.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”