Manchester City vs Fulham - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Etihad Stadium 11 February - 19:30

Manchester City

Fulham

Recommended tip Win for Manchester City

1: 1.34 X: 5.10 2: 7.90

1: 1.36 X: 5.00 2: 7.50

1: 1.36 X: 5.50 2: 7.00

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There’s a proper midweek sizzler on the cards as Manchester City welcome Fulham to the Etihad Stadium. Fresh from that scalp at Anfield, City have their tails up and the Cottagers arrive looking to cause an upset. This one matters for form, momentum and bragging rights — particularly with the title race and European ambitions never far from the conversation.

Form is the headline here: City are undefeated in their last five and have a habit of getting out of the blocks quickly, scoring first in four of their last five matches. Fulham, meanwhile, have shown they can find the net but struggle to keep it out, so there are plenty of talking points for punters and fans alike.

Expect banter, pressing and chances. Our Predictions and Tips piece peels back the numbers, the H2H tale and the likely line-ups to give you a proper steer on how this one could play out. Fancy more research? Check our best football betting sites for extra markets and odds.

Odds and Predictions

Bookies have made their minds up: the pre-game odds favour Manchester City heavily. The market lists Home at 4/11 (1.36) with a 73.5% implied probability, Draw at 17/4 (5.25) at about 19% and Away at 6/1 (7.0) at roughly 14.3%. Those figures say this should be routine on paper, but football seldom reads the script.

Given City’s recent run and that first-goal habit, our predictions lean towards a home win. The Correct Score prediction here is MANCHESTER CITY 2-1 FULHAM — a comfortable victory but one that still sees Fulham’s attacking threat rewarded. The markets for First to Score and BTTS make sense: Man City and Yes is our hot tip, with Both Teams to Score standing out at 4/5 (1.8).

Odds are informative but not gospel. While City are clear favourites, the BTTS market and Fulham’s tendency to concede suggest value in backing goals rather than a shutout. For punters looking for a mixture of safety and excitement, a City win + BTTS or a 2-1 exact score looks the tidy play from our perspective.

Comparison and Statistics

Head to head (H2H) history heavily favours City. The recent H2H summary shows Manchester City have an astonishing unbeaten run against Fulham in this period, winning the last 19 meetings and remaining undefeated in their last 20 matches. That sort of record has weight in both psychology and market pricing.

Digging into form tables: City are undefeated in five and have scored first in six of their last seven H2H encounters, while Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight games. Six of Fulham’s last seven fixtures have gone above the 2.5-goal line, which feeds directly into our predictions that goals will be the headline.

There are other small details punters should note: City’s midweek home record remains formidable and recent matches have produced fewer than 11 corners in each of Man City’s last five — an odd stat for those corner markets. On balance, momentum and the H2H narrative both tilt the needle towards a City victory, but with goals at both ends.

Expected Line-ups

Predicted lineups are always a talking point and they’ll swing everything from tactics to betting markets. For Manchester City, the preview lists: Donnarumma (GK), Nunes, Dias, Guehi, Ait-Nouri, Rodri, O’Reilly, Bernardo, Cherki, Semenyo & Haaland. A front line with that kind of firepower explains why City are favourites to score early and often.

Fulham’s predicted XI reads: Leno (GK), Tete, Andersen, Cuenca, Robinson, Iwobi, Berge, Wilson, Smith Rowe, Chukwueze & Jimenez. That selection shows threat and pace in attack but also highlights where City might exploit gaps — especially given Fulham’s recent defensive struggles and lack of clean sheets.

Injuries and absences are worth flagging. For Man City the notes list Jeremy Doku (calf), Savinho (unspecified), John Stones (fitness), Josko Gvardiol (tibial fracture) and Mateo Kovacic (ankle/heel) as absent or uncertain, while Abdukodir Khusanov is doubtful. Fulham are missing Sasa Lukic (thigh) and Tom Cairney (calf). These personnel issues could nudge managers towards more conservative or rotated setups and open tactical avenues for the opposition.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This fixture has implications beyond three points. For Manchester City, wins like this are about maintaining pressure at the top and closing the gap in a tight Premier League race; losing points here would be a surprise and could invite scrutiny. A routine victory keeps momentum, confidence and the title talk alive.

For Fulham, results such as this define where they sit in the mid-table versus top-six conversation. Goals scored in defeat still offer positives, but a run of poor defensive displays — eight without a clean sheet — is a worrying trend that needs addressing to chase higher ambitions or secure European contention.

Looking at the broader campaign, games of this nature can set the tone for both clubs. A win for City reinforces their status as genuine title contenders, while a resilient away showing from Fulham would inject belief into their season. Our predictions and tips therefore treat this as a likely City win, but one that will feature goals and a few nervy moments for the hosts.

Key Stats & Recent Form

Manchester City are undefeated in their last five matches.
Fulham have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight games.
Both teams have scored in six of their last eight meetings.

Last Five Results

Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City
Man City 3-1 Newcastle
Tottenham 2-2 Man City
Man City 2-0 Galatasaray
Man City 2-0 Wolves

Fulham Last Five

Fulham 1-2 Everton
Man United 3-2 Fulham
Fulham 2-1 Brighton
Leeds 1-0 Fulham
Fulham 3-1 Middlesbrough

Final word: back a Manchester City win and keep an eye on Both Teams to Score if you like a little value. Our short, sharp prediction is a 2-1 home victory — tidy, predictable and just enough drama. Good luck and enjoy the game.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”