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It’s lights on at Old Trafford as Manchester United roll up their sleeves to welcome Everton for a Monday night test that matters more than the fixture list might suggest. The Red Devils will be looking to build momentum in front of a demanding home crowd while Everton arrive with that dogged David Moyes pragmatism — and a point to prove on the road. Expect intensity, talking points and a fair bit of late drama.
Form is the headline here: United have rediscovered a cutting edge in the final third, while Everton’s away numbers raise eyebrows — defensive frailties have crept into their game. The rivalry isn’t classic Old School, but recent encounters have been lively, so there’s history to lean on and plenty to chat about in the build-up. This one could easily be decided by moments of individual quality or a defensive lapse.
On the cards for punters are clear betting opportunities — from over/under goals to match winners. Our Predictions and Tips will home in on where the value lies given the recent run of goals and defensive records; we’ll examine the odds, the H2H form and who’s likeliest to make the difference come 20:00 on matchday.
Odds and Predictions
Bookmakers have Manchester United as favourites, and the pre-game odds reflect that confidence. The market suggests a home win is the likeliest outcome, but the price on goals — particularly United scoring more than once — looks tempting. When assessing the odds you want to weigh probability versus value; United’s recent scoring streak makes any lines on over 1.5 goals for them particularly attractive.
For a quick, no-nonsense tip: back Manchester United to find the net at least twice. That’s not bravado; it’s numbers meeting form. If you’re shopping markets, consider both a United win and the home side to score 2+ as a double-layered idea. Remember though, odds shift with money and team news, so lock in value early.
We’ve also got to mention the bookmakers’ special promos that pop up around fixtures like this — keep an eye out but always read the small print. For a trusted starting point when comparing lines, check our roundup of football betting sites — they’ll show you where the best returns sit across the market.
Comparison and Statistics
A look at the recent H2H and form tells the tale. The head to head ledger heavily favours United, who’ve been unbeaten against Everton in seven meetings and have won six of those. That psychological edge — combined with Old Trafford’s atmosphere — matters in tight games.
Statistically, United have been prolific: six of their last seven matches have seen them score at least twice. Everton, by contrast, have shipped multiple goals in several away trips, conceding two or more in four of their last five on the road. Those numbers scream goals and point directly at the over markets and the ‘United to score 2+’ angle.
Digging deeper, United’s second-half defending has been shaky this season — more goals conceded after the break than any other side in the first 11 matches — which could temper predictions for a comfortable home shutout. Expect fluctuations in momentum and a second-half spell where both teams could target points.
Key stats at a glance:
- United: scored 2+ in six of last seven games
- Everton: conceded 2+ in four of last five away league fixtures
- H2H: United unbeaten in last seven meetings, winning six
Expected Line-ups
Team selection will play a big role and injuries are a storyline. For United, the attack is slightly paper-thin with Benjamin Sesko ruled out and Matheus Cunha doubtful. That leaves Bryan Mbeumo as the go-to source of goals and creative pull. Expect an aggressive, forward-thinking setup with Mason Mount pulling the strings.
Probable Manchester United XI: Lammens (GK), Yoro, De Ligt, Shaw, Mazraoui, Casemiro, Fernandes, Dorgu, Diallo, Mount, Mbeumo. That selection blends solidity in midfield with plenty of thrust going forward; watch how wide players are deployed to stretch Everton’s backline.
Everton will likely be forced into a conservative back four with Jarrad Branthwaite still absent. James Tarkowski and Michael Keane look nailed-on to partner up, offering experience if not pace. Moyes tends to set up to frustrate and hit on the counter — so expect the visitors to be compact and ready to spring forward on transitional moments.
Probable Everton XI: Pickford (GK), O’Brien, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Garner, Gueye, Ndiaye, Dewsbury-Hall, Grealish, Barry. If Everton can get their wide men into the game, they might stretch United and create opportunities; otherwise it’s likely to be a battle of who scraps harder in midfield.
How Will the Season Pan Out?
This fixture is a mid-season litmus test. A United victory would be the kind of result that consolidates confidence and pushes them within touching distance of the top four — suddenly the title conversation shifts from distant hope to realistic chatter. For Everton, a positive result would be a statement of intent in a season where stability is prized above all.
Looking at the bigger picture, United’s scoring form suggests they will be competitive for European places if they can shore up that leaky second-half defence. Everton, meanwhile, must address their away fragility to turn narrow mid-table positioning into a push for higher finishes or cup runs.
From a betting perspective, this match won’t decide a title or condemn a team to relegation, but it can set momentum. If United deliver a win and score multiple times, you can expect the market to react and shorten their odds in subsequent weeks. Conversely, another poor defensive display from United would hand Everton a platform to climb the table.
Final verdict: expect goals, expect drama, and expect the hosts to have the slight upper hand. Our tip for this clash is straightforward — Manchester United to do enough to secure all three points while Everton will make them work for it.
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