Newcastle vs Everton - Betting Tips & Predictions.

Hill Dickinson Stadium 21 March - 17:30

Everton

Chelsea

Recommended tip Win for Newcastle United

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Newcastle United welcome Everton to St. James’ Park on Saturday lunchtime in what promises to be a spicy Premier League affair. The Magpies come off a midweek win that secured progression in Europe and will be keen to keep the momentum rolling, while Everton arrive wounded after a narrow defeat at Goodison. This fixture matters — for Newcastle it’s about maintaining a push for the top half and keeping confidence high; for Everton it’s a chance to arrest a wobble and push back towards midtable security.

The form book makes this an intriguing contest: the hosts have been carving teams open of late, and the Toffees can be stubborn on their day. Expect plenty of talking points — pace on the flanks, set-piece battles and whether Everton can stifle Newcastle’s forward thrusts. For anyone shopping for value, check out our top football betting sites guides before staking — they’re handy for comparing the best odds and markets.

This preview blends a little banter with proper analysis. We’ve got Predictions, Tips and a look at the form lines to help you tease out the most likely outcome. If you like goals, the recent trends point firmly in that direction, so keep an eye on the Over markets in addition to the match result.

Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have installed the home side as favourites and that’s reflected in the pre-match odds: 8/11 (1.73) for a Newcastle win, 29/10 (3.90) for a draw and 10/3 (4.33) on an Everton victory. Those translate roughly into implied probabilities of 57.9% for the hosts, 25.6% for a stalemate and 23.1% for an away shock. The odds make sense on form alone — Newcastle have been more clinical in recent weeks.

But football rarely reads the form book word-for-word. Our predictions lean towards a home victory, yet with goals at both ends. Newcastle’s recent fixtures have been goal-laden and Everton, despite defensive issues, can nick chances on the break. The popular tip in the markets is Over 3.5 total goals — and given the Magpies’ last four showing three games of four or more goals, that market has real merit.

For punters after a single-score play, we’re backing a 3-1 home win. It’s ambitious but reasonable: Newcastle to dominate possession and create chances, Everton to hit back on transition. If you prefer a safer punt, a Newcastle win with Over 2.5 goals or both teams to score are tidy alternatives. Remember: odds shift, so shop around and compare.

Recommended bet: Win for Newcastle United
Value market: Over 3.5 goals

Comparison and Statistics

Head-to-head (H2H) history between these sides has been a mixed bag. In the last five encounters, results have been split: Newcastle won once, Everton twice and there were two draws. That balance suggests no psychological edge, though the manner of Newcastle’s recent victory earlier this season — a comprehensive scoreline — will still be in the mind of both dressing rooms.

Form tables tell a similar story. Newcastle have won four of their last five in all competitions and boast a streak of games where both teams have scored. Everton, by contrast, have managed just one win in five and have lost the last two. Goals scored and conceded numbers favour the hosts from an attacking perspective, but Everton’s ability to set a low block and counter means the match could still produce twists.

Momentum is a real thing in football. The Magpies have the rhythm of European nights and domestic wins behind them; Everton are searching for consistency. Statistically, matches at St. James’ Park have been open, and combined with Everton’s occasional defensive frailties this season, there’s every chance we’ll see a free-flowing affair rather than an attritional 0-0.

Expected Line-ups

We’ll set out likely starters for both sides in a straightforward formation style. For Newcastle expect a typical attacking set-up with a goalkeeper protected by a four-man backline and midfield designed to feed the front men.

Probable Newcastle XI: Pope (GK); Trippier, Thiaw, Burn, Hall; Joelinton, Tonali, Ramsey; Barnes, Woltemade, Gordon. Note the squad is missing long-term absentees Bruno Guimaraes and Tino Livramento, which forces a bit of rotation in midfield and on the right flank. No fresh concerns have been reported, so selection should be largely straightforward.

Probable Everton XI: Pickford (GK); O’Brien, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko; Gueye, Garner; Ndiaye, Dewsbury-Hall, Armstrong, Barry. Everton appear to be without Jack Grealish due to injury, which alters the attacking dynamics; expect a compact midfield with quick transitions. Suspensions don’t seem to be a factor, so Everton should be able to name a near-full-strength side.

Tactical tweaks to watch: Newcastle may opt to overload the wings and use wing-backs to stretch Everton, whereas the Toffees might sit slightly deeper and rely on quick vertical passes to exploit space left by advanced full-backs. Set-pieces could also decide the contest given both sides’ aerial profiles.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This clash is more than three points — it’s a barometer for how each club’s season unfolds. A win would keep Newcastle ticking along in their bid for European contention and maintain momentum across competitions. They’re balancing Premier League ambition with a cup run in Europe, and squad depth will be tested as fixtures pile up.

For Everton, a positive result would be a statement that they can steady the ship and push away from the relegation scrap that worries any midtable side. Failure to pick up points could see them drift further from safety and into a tussle for respectability rather than progression. The outcome here will influence confidence and selection choices in the weeks ahead.

Looking further ahead, Newcastle are well-placed to keep improving and should finish comfortably in the top half if they maintain focus and manage fitness. Everton must find consistency — tightening up at the back and getting more cutting edge up front — or risk another season of scrapping for points rather than pushing upwards. Small margins will decide both campaigns, and this match is one such margin.

Whatever your angle — outright result, goals markets or specific player props — make sure your staking is sensible. Our Predictions and Tips aim to point you the way, but football favorites are won and lost on the day. Enjoy the game, and if you need more angle-specific previews, we’ll have them up after the teamsheet confirmation.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”