Newcastle vs Tottenham - Betting Tips & Predictions.

St. James' Park 02 December - 20:15

Newcastle

Tottenham

Recommended tip Win for Newcastle United

1: 1.81 X: 3.75 2: 4.20

1: 1.80 X: 3.70 2: 4.20

1: 1.85 X: 3.75 2: 4.00

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There’s a proper Saturday night feel to this Tuesday fixture as Newcastle roll out the red carpet at St James’ Park to welcome Tottenham. If you like noise, tempo and a home crowd that treats every clearance like a victory parade, this is your match. Newcastle’s mid-season resurgence has turned the Toon into a fortress and Spurs, well, look the poorer for injuries and wobble form. This clash matters — not just for three points, but for momentum and bragging rights in the north-east.

Form tells one story: the Magpies have been rampant at home, while Tottenham are searching for their best eleven and some composure. Big talking points are simple — can Spurs stop Newcastle in transition, and will the Magpies’ defence keep its recent run of clean sheets? These are the sort of questions punters ask before they click through the odds and lock in predictions. For a quick peek at current markets and where value might lie, check our round-up on football betting sites.

Expect passion, a tactical chess match and an atmosphere that suits Eddie Howe’s team down to the ground. Spurs arrive on the back of poor results and a ragged defensive record; that combination makes this fixture particularly spicy for anyone placing a bet. The presence of returning defenders and a fired-up Nick Woltemade give Newcastle additional bite — and you can hear the pundit in me grinning at the prospect.

Odds and Predictions

The bookmakers have made their minds up: Newcastle are the favourites. Current pre-match pricing (Ladbrokes) reads HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%, DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%, AWAY: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.7%. Those are tidy odds and reflect the underlying story — home momentum versus away uncertainty. The markets are pricing in a clear edge for the Magpies.

Our predictions lean into that market view. The primary tip is a home win with over 1.5 goals — Newcastle have been scoring freely at St James’ Park and Spurs have shown cracks in possession that invite counter-attacks. Mentioning odds here is important: the home win/over 1.5 goals market at around 2.05 looks sensible value, given the stats and recent form.

For anyone who fancies a punt with a bit more cheek, the correct score we like is 2-0 to Newcastle. That’s based on Newcastle’s clean-sheet streak at home and Tottenham’s tendency to concede early this season. If you prefer to back both teams to score, look out for promotional boosts — but be mindful of the underlying probabilities in the market before chasing outsized returns.

Comparison and Statistics

Head-to-head history is a handy guide and in this case it favours Newcastle. The H2H narrative shows four successive home victories for the Magpies over Spurs, including a 2-0 win earlier this season in the EFL Cup. That kind of psychological advantage at St James’ Park is worth more than a stat on a sheet; it carries momentum into matchday 14.

Digging into recent form, Newcastle’s last five across competitions include wins over Man City and Everton and a steady pattern of scoring at least twice at home. Tottenham, by contrast, have lost four on the spin away to this ground and are on a four-game winless run overall. Goals scored and conceded paint a compelling picture — Newcastle’s forward players look sharp; Spurs’ defence has been profligate at times.

Numbers to watch: Newcastle have kept four clean sheets in their six successive home wins, three finishing 2-0. Tottenham have conceded at least one first-half goal in each of their last four matches. Those stats underpin our predictions and offer simple markets to target: first-half goals, Newcastle to score two+, and the outright at odds for a home win.

Expected Line-ups

Newcastle are likely to stick with a robust formation that neutralises Spurs’ counter. Expect Ramsdale in goal with Livramento and Burn either side of the centre-backs Thiaw and (if fit) Burn/Botman rotation to be assessed. Midfield will feature Guimarães and Tonali sitting deep, with Joelinton offering the engine and Woltemade and Barnes providing the width and finishing touch. Eddie Howe may tinker, but the spine looks clear.

Injuries matter here: Nick Pope’s groin issue sidelines him and Aaron Ramsdale starts again. Sven Botman is touch-and-go with a back concern; if he misses out, Howe’s backline shuffles. Absent players such as Kieran Trippier, Yoane Wissa and Jamaal Lascelles remain on the treatment table, reducing rotation options.

Tottenham will line up with Vicario in goal, Porro and Spence on the flanks, Romero back from suspension paired with Van de Ven. Palhinha should anchor the midfield with Bergvall and Kudus ahead of him; Richarlison and Kolo Muani provide direct threat up top. The big question is match sharpness — Spurs are still integrating key players and the absences of Maddison and Kulusevski are felt in creativity and consistency.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This match is more than a Tuesday night skirmish; it’s a mid-season barometer. A home victory for Newcastle consolidates their top-six ambitions and keeps them in the conversation for Champions League places. The crowd at St James’ Park has a habit of turning big moments in the home side’s favour — sustaining that form will be crucial if they want to push higher up the table.

For Tottenham, another poor result ramps up pressure on the squad and manager. Injuries have blunted their attacking options and a slide here could make European spot ambitions far trickier. Spurs need a coherent defensive plan and the return of leaders like Romero helps, but the club must shore up the midfield creative gap to reel their season back in.

My confident view as a pundit: Newcastle will take all three points. The home form, the H2H advantage and Spurs’ patchy performances suggest a clear path to victory for the Magpies. That result would be a significant boost to their season; for Spurs, it would force a re-think about personnel and tactics if they are to salvage the campaign.

Player to watch: Nick Woltemade — seven goals and growing confidence. If he carries his Everton form into this clash, he could be the difference and justify the home win prediction. Predictions and tips always carry an element of risk, but on balance, the smart money is on Newcastle to win at St James’ Park.

Written by:

Mark Brown

Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”