West Ham vs Liverpool – Betting Odds & Predictions – Premier League 25/26

London Stadium 30 November - 14:05
West Ham
VS
Liverpool
Recommended tip Win for West Ham

#AD, 18+ T&C apply!

There’s a proper sense of occasion about this one as West Ham take on Liverpool at the London Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Hammers arrive buoyant and a little cocky after taking seven points from the last nine available, while the Reds are wobbling in a way that makes neutral punters sit up. This isn’t just another fixture; it feels like a pivot point in both clubs’ campaigns and a chance for West Ham to turn talk into scalp.

Form, temperament and timing all matter here: West Ham have momentum, Liverpool have doubt. The prospect of Arne Slot facing the sack if this slide continues adds extra spice — and extra value for those who love a storyline as much as the scoreline. For anyone shopping for angle and value, check out our take on the best football betting sites for context and markets on the big bets.

Expect atmosphere, edge and a full-blooded contest. The talking points are clear — Can West Ham keep scoring? Can Liverpool halt a worrying sequence of defeats? The answer should be fascinating for bettors and neutrals alike as we present our predictions, tips and a proper pundit’s read on what to expect.

Kick-off is at 14:05 on 30 November 2025 and the Hammers will fancy their chances; Liverpool must find form fast. Read on for odds, predictions and an honest appraisal of why this fixture matters.

Odds and Predictions

The pre-game market paints Liverpool as favourites despite their slump. Ladbrokes prices the match up as: Home 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%, Draw 3/1 (4.00) – 25%, Away 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%. Those odds tell you two things: bookies still respect Liverpool’s historical superiority, and there’s value if you fancy the Hammers to spring a surprise.

From a punting perspective, the odds suggest the market expects Liverpool to nick it. But odds are a reflection of money and history as much as form: Liverpool’s recent nine losses in 12 across all competitions is worrying, and that’s not fully priced in. Our predictions lean into momentum; we can see the Hammers pressing, unsettling Liverpool’s back-line and finding chances.

For betting Tips, consider the match-win markets and alternatives. A straight win for West Ham is tempting at the quoted price, but lower-risk options include backing both teams to score or a 2-1 correct score — a classic, narrow Hammers victory we expect. The odds offer room to combine value markets with safer punts depending on your appetite.

In short, bookies give Liverpool the edge on paper; on the park, the mood and momentum favour West Ham. Our headline prediction is a West Ham victory, with the market offering attractive returns if you’re brave enough to back the home side.

Comparison and Statistics

History gives Liverpool plenty of ammo: they are unbeaten in their last nine meetings with West Ham, with eight wins and a draw. That head to head record (H2H) is why markets are stubbornly siding with the visitors. But H2H only tells one side of the story — current form tells another.

Key stats to note:

  • West Ham have taken seven points from the last nine available.
  • Liverpool have lost six of their last seven Premier League matches.
  • Both teams have scored in each of West Ham’s last four matches.

Form tables show the Hammers churning out goals and points at crucial moments, while Liverpool look ragged, conceding too easily. West Ham’s fixtures have seen them pick up wins against Burnley and Newcastle and a solid draw at Bournemouth — signs of a side growing in confidence. Liverpool’s recent defeats, including heavy losses at Forest and City and a stinging 1-4 at home to PSV, underline defensive sickness rather than an isolated blip.

Looking at goals for and against, West Ham have been productive in attack but occasionally leaky at the back — which makes the both-teams-to-score market attractive. Momentum is a real thing in football; West Ham have it, Liverpool do not. That swing could be decisive on Sunday.

Expected Line-ups

Team news shapes the picture. West Ham welcome back Lucas Paqueta from suspension and will be boosted by his creativity in the middle. The club’s injury room still contains Lukasz Fabianski and Oliver Scarles, so goalkeeper and defensive choices are pinned to current availability.

Predicted West Ham XI: Areola (GK), Wan-Bissaka, Todibo, Kilman, Diouf, Fernandes, Potts, Bowen, Paqueta, Summerville, Wilson. Callum Wilson, in particular, is the player to watch after his recent purple patch — three goals in two games and a striker in form can be the difference in tight matches.

Liverpool will be without Hugo Ekitike after his recent knock, but Alisson should be back after illness, restoring calm at the back. Defensive solidity and midfield answers are going to be Slot’s immediate priorities; expect a back four and a midfield set-up designed to plug gaps and release Salah and Isak.

Predicted Liverpool XI: Alisson (GK), Gomez, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson, Gravenberch, Jones, Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo, Isak. The headache for Liverpool is their lack of rhythm — individual quality remains, but cohesion has dipped. Any tweaks to personnel or shape could swing the tie.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This fixture matters more than three points. For West Ham, a win bolsters European ambitions and cements belief that they can push in the top half. A strong showing here would position them as dark horses for continental places and underline David Moyes-style resilience with a modern sheen.

For Liverpool, another poor result deepens a crisis of confidence. If they lose, talk of managerial change will cranked up to fever pitch and their title hopes would be more fanciful than realistic. The Reds’ season could pivot from a fight at the top to a scramble for consistency and European qualification.

From a broader Premier League perspective, results like this create space for other challengers to close the gap. Should West Ham collect the points, it tightens the race for the top six and reshuffles who looks like achieving European qualification. Conversely, a Liverpool recovery would reassert their status and quieten the doubters — but they must stop the rot first.

Ultimately, this is a six-pointer with narrative. It’s one of those fixtures that defines seasons; expect high stakes, edge-of-seat moments and plenty for punters and pundits to pick over afterwards.

Player to watch: Callum Wilson — his recent form gives West Ham a sharp edge in the box and could prove decisive against a nervy Liverpool defence.

Correct score prediction: West Ham 2-1 Liverpool. Betting Tip: Win for West Ham.

Mark Brown
Written by:
Mark Brown
Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”

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