Wolverhampton vs Bournemouth – Betting Odds & Predictions – Premier League 25/26

31 January - 15:00
Wolves
VS
Bournemouth
Recommended tip Win for Bournemouth

#AD, 18+ T&C apply!

Right then, strap in — Wolverhampton welcome Bournemouth to Molineux on Saturday, January 31, in a fixture that smells faintly of relegation drama and late-January desperation. This is the sort of match that separates those who panic from those who plot: Wolves are clinging to breathers and Bournemouth are trying to keep momentum going after a couple of high-scoring wins. The mood around the ground will be febrile and every misplaced pass will be loudly catalogued by the faithful.

Form tells a clear story: Wolves have been toothless in front of goal at home this season while the Cherries have produced flashes of attacking bite away from the South Coast. There’s rivalry of a practical sort here — two mid-table-ish clubs fighting for safety — and the big talking points are simple: can Wolves find a route to goal, and will Bournemouth’s recent resilience hold up under pressure?

For punters and armchair managers alike, this is a match that cries out for sensible staking. If you want more context before you back anything, pop over to our football betting sites hub for longer-term markets and price comparisons. In short: expect tension, low scoring and a tidy away victory. These Predictions and Tips are aimed at clean thinking — not cling-film optimism.

Odds and Predictions

The bookies have stuck the Cherries on top and it’s hardly a surprise. Pre-game odds point to Bournemouth as favourites with the market pricing in roughly a 45% chance of an away win, Wolves sitting at around 33% and the draw coming in as the least likely outcome. That lines up with form and recent performances.

Look at the prices and you’ll see why conservative punters are circling a simple outcome: a narrow Bournemouth victory. The odds suggest value in backing the visitors to nick it 1-0 or 2-1, but given Wolves’ struggles to find the net at Molineux, the clean sheet/no BTTS angle is especially tempting. As ever with odds, shop around — small differences will bite over a season.

As a pundit you want a prediction that toes the line between bravado and sense. My predictions: a tight game, Bournemouth grinds out a 0-1 win and both teams won’t score. The hot tip here is BTTS – No; if you’re chasing bigger returns, look at low-scoring correct score markets or Bournemouth on the half-time/full-time market.

Markets to consider: away win, under 2.5 goals and clean sheet for Bournemouth. The interplay between these markets and the outright odds makes for tidy value when combined properly.

Comparison and Statistics

Head to head — or H2H for the shorthand inclined — has been leaning Bournemouth’s way of late. The Cherries took the earlier league meeting 1-0 this season and have won four of the last five fixtures between the clubs across all competitions. That recent dominance translates into psychological advantage; Wolves will be aware of that little patch of history.

Wolves’ home record this term is grim: only one league win at Molineux and goals have been scarce, with the side finding the net in only a minority of home fixtures. In contrast Bournemouth have won several one-goal games — five of their seven wins came by a single strike — which tells you they can be tidy and effective when it matters.

Form tables show Wolves stuck at the foot and punching above their weight defensively on some days, but not consistently. Bournemouth are on a short unbeaten run and have recently beaten the big boys, which has steadied their campaign. Statistically the match reads like a low-scoring away success: Wolves failing to score in roughly 45% of home league games this season makes the BTTS – No call sensible.

  • Wolves: poor home scoring record, only one win at Molineux this season.
  • Bournemouth: efficient, several single-goal wins and recent unbeaten run.
  • H2H: Bournemouth have the edge across the last five meetings.

Expected Line-ups

Rob Edwards will be forced into selection gymnastics with a couple of knocks reported. Expect him to go conservative in midfield and rely on a compact back four to smother Bournemouth’s creative outlets. The likely front options will be narrow and industrious rather than free-scoring — this is a team that needs bite and discipline more than flair right now.

Probable Wolves XI (shape: 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 hybrid): Sa; Mosquera, S. Bueno, Krejci, Tchatchoua; Gomes, Andre; Mane, H. Bueno, Arias; Hwang. Note: Toti and Jean-Ricner Bellegarde are nursing hamstring problems and are doubtful — their absences push Edwards towards a compact midfield rather than expansive play.

Bournemouth under Andoni Iraola are likely to stick with a pragmatic, pressing 4-3-3 with swift transitions. The Cherries have the men to punish a timid Wolves side on the break, especially if Tavernier remains absent. Expect a mix of industrious wing play and a nimble central striker to test Wolves’ rearguard.

Probable Bournemouth XI (shape: 4-3-3): Petrovic; Smith, Hill, Senesi, Truffert; Scott, Cook; Jimenez, Kroupi, Adli; Evanilson. Marcus Tavernier is a fitness doubt with a thigh strain, joined on the side-lines by Justin Kluivert and Tyler Adams — a trio that could blunt some of Bournemouth’s creativity if they remain out.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This match matters far beyond three points. For Wolves, another defeat nudges them deeper into relegation anxiety; months of poor home form equal a season where survival becomes a lottery. If they can’t start scoring at Molineux, the Championship is a real possibility and Edwards will be under serious pressure to find solutions in January and February.

Bournemouth, meanwhile, have the feel of a side that can consolidate mid-table safety if they stop flirting with inconsistency. A win here would push them further from the drop zone and give momentum for a run of fixtures that could define their season. The managerial brain trust will want steady, pragmatic performances — and that’s exactly what Iraola’s side have offered of late.

Looking at the bigger picture, the title race will rumble on at the top, but this is a six-pointer for both parties in the battle for survival. My confident season projection: Wolves teeter but need reinforcements to avoid a slide; Bournemouth finish clear of trouble if they keep winning tight games. This particular fixture? Expect the Cherries to nick it 1-0 and leave Molineux with three priceless points.

Final betting Tips and Predictions: back Bournemouth to win, consider under 2.5 goals and BTTS – No for best value. Keep stakes measured — the Premier League rarely rewards bravado on January weekends.

Mark Brown
Written by:
Mark Brown
Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”

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