Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace – Betting Odds & Predictions – Premier League 25/26

Molineux Stadium 22 November - 15:00
Wolves
VS
Crystal Palace
Recommended tip Win for Crystal Palace

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The excitement is palpable as Wolverhampton welcome Crystal Palace to Molineux Stadium this Saturday. New manager energy meets steady mid‑table pragmatism and, if you like a bit of drama on a damp November afternoon, you’ll be in for a treat. The fixture matters: Wolves are desperate for a result to kickstart what has been a worrying run, while Palace travel with momentum and the kind of organisation that makes life hard for nervy hosts.

There’s plenty to chew on here — form, injuries and the little rivalries that spice up the Premier League. Our blend of opinions, stats and a touch of banter aims to give you clear Predictions and Tips ahead of kick‑off. If you’re shopping for other ideas around the league, don’t forget to see the football betting sites roundups for more markets and value.

Rob Edwards makes his debut in the dugout for the hosts and the new manager bounce narrative is irresistible. Conversely, Palace have quietly steadied the ship and boast an unbeaten streak in recent outings. This isn’t just about one match — it’s a psychological fork in the season for both sides and one that the bookies have already begun to price up through the odds.

Expect grit, long throws, the occasional baffling referee decision and the sort of set‑piece skirmishes that define Molineux afternoons. Our hot tip is bold and backed by the numbers: Palace to win. Read on for the full breakdown of odds, Predictions, H2H context, likely line‑ups and why this result could shape both clubs’ campaigns.

Odds and Predictions

The pre‑game market has made its intentions clear. Bookmakers have priced Crystal Palace as favourites, and the market probabilities follow suit. A quick snapshot from Ladbrokes shows:

  • HOME: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.00%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.40%
  • AWAY: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.00%

Those odds paint a picture: half the market expects an away win. It’s not reckless — Palace arrive in better form and their away numbers are tidy. For punters who like to shop around, odds movement will be worth watching once Edwards names his first XI; manager changes often generate volatile lines that sharp bettors can exploit.

From a pundit’s angle the Predictions are straightforward: Crystal Palace look the smarter bet. Their defensive shape and ability to nick games on the break dovetail nicely against a Wolves side low on confidence. That said, football hates foregone conclusions — if Wolves muster the expected new‑boss steel and Palace are missing key personnel, there’s room for an upset.

For those after Tips beyond the match result, consider clean‑sheet/downside markets given Wolves’ recent scoring woes and Palace’s compact away displays. The value in the market is currently with Palace to win and modest accumulators including an away victory and under 3.5 goals make sense based on recent trends.

Comparison and Statistics

Let’s bring the H2H and numbers into play. The head to head is currently slanted in Palace’s favour — they’ve won three of the last four encounters, including a lively 4‑2 win last May. That momentum in the head to head gives the travelling fans confidence and a psychological edge heading to Wolves’ patch.

Form tables tell a starker story. Wolves are the only top‑flight side yet to register a victory this season and are on a 15‑match winless streak. They’ve failed to score in six of their last 11 league fixtures and remarkably have shipped three goals in each of their last three league outings. Those are ugly numbers and they explain why the odds are skewed.

By contrast, Palace’s Premier League matches this season have averaged only around 2.09 goals — one of the lowest in the division — and away from home they’ve conceded two or more in just one of their last ten trips. That suggests a team that is defensively disciplined and capable of keeping a lid on proceedings while being dangerous on the counter through players like Ismaila Sarr.

So, the data is consistent: Wolves are porous and toothless; Palace are organised and on the up. Head to head, form and raw goals data all back the visitors to take maximum points, which is why our probability and the market are aligned.

Expected Line‑ups

Rob Edwards will have to select carefully. With a few injuries to contend with and the weight of expectation on his shoulders, look for a cautious, perhaps even conservative Wolves XI. The likely selection could read: Johnstone in goal, a back four marshalled by Krejci and Toti, midfield protection from Munetsi and Tchatchoua and Strand Larsen leading the line. The hosts will rely on the returning Emmanuel Agbadou to steady the defence after suspension.

Wolves are missing Matt Doherty, Leon Chiwome (both knee) and Rodrigo Gomes (groin) — absentees who limit full‑back options and creative depth. That could force Edwards into a back five or a compact 4‑2‑3‑1 designed to plug the gaps and try to hit Palace on set pieces.

Crystal Palace manager will likely stick with the pragmatic shape that has served them. Expect Sam Johnstone between the sticks (or current GK), a solid centre‑back pairing with Lacroix and possibly Guehi if fit, Kamada and Wharton to provide midfield control and Sarr as the primary outlet on the right. Eddie Nketiah and Marc Guehi are questionable with knocks; if either is missing Palace have decent cover in players like Mateta and Richards.

Tactically, Palace will look to soak pressure, frustrate Wolves’ attacking outlet and spring quick counters. Wolves’ selection choices — whether to be brave early or cautious — will determine the initial 20 minutes and potentially the rhythm of the match.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This fixture is more than a Saturday three‑pointer. For Wolves, another loss would deepen the crisis and put early pressure on Edwards to find points fast. A prolonged winless run risks dragging them into a relegation scrap: the psychological toll is real and squad confidence is fragile. A point here would feel like salvage; a win could reset the narrative entirely.

For Palace, a victory continues their upward trajectory and cements their status as a team capable of mixing it in the top half. They’re not yet title challengers, but consistent away results push them towards European consideration if they maintain this momentum over the winter months. Squad depth will be tested, though, with Europa Conference League fixtures and cup commitments potentially stretching resources.

Looking ahead to the end of the campaign, the immediate effect of this match is clear: Palace collect three points and they move closer to the comfortable mid‑table or even a push for the Champions League fringes if they string more results together. Wolves need a reset; survival is the immediate target and the new manager era needs early points to avoid a long, bleak winter.

All told, the smart money, backed by the odds, H2H and recent form, points to a Crystal Palace victory. It’s the kind of call a seasoned punter and a slightly emotional pundit can both agree on — tidy defence, incisive counters and a headline‑grabbing away result at Molineux.

Mark Brown
Written by:
Mark Brown
Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”

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