
Published: June 29, 2026
- Germany boss the ball but struggle to break Paraguay’s stubborn shape
- Deniz Undav sniffs the opener as final pass deserts Nagelsmann’s side
- Alan Shearer unimpressed as a cagey first half plays out in Boston
Germany are back in the World Cup knockouts for the first time in 12 years, but you wouldn’t know it from this opening half. It’s been all control, little chaos, and Paraguay have loved every minute of it. If you’re tracking the numbers as closely as the odds, our best football betting sites guide has you covered.
Germany Control Without Cutting Edge
Julian Nagelsmann’s men arrived here after topping Group E despite that late shock against Ecuador in New York, signalling the end of their group-stage misery since 2014. Yet in Boston, they’ve run into a South American side brimming with discipline. At one point the pass count was roughly 239–31 in Germany’s favour, which tells you who’s dictating tempo — but also who’s defending comfortably.
There have been flickers. Deniz Undav lurked menacingly when Kai Havertz broke down the left, only for the final ball to let Germany down. Leroy Sane and Florian Wirtz have probed between the lines, but Paraguay’s centre-backs have been aggressive in the duels, with Caceres glancing one dangerous diagonal behind for a corner. It’s measured from Germany, yes, but a touch too polite.
Paraguay’s Work-Rate Rattles the Favourites
Paraguay, who squeezed through Group D in third, have chased everything. Miguel Almiron won a corner after outmuscling his man, though a short routine fizzled out — a let-off after a rare foray. The referee waved away another Almiron tumble, while a scheduled hydration pause only underlined the stop-start rhythm — and the sight of patchy pockets of empty seats didn’t help the spectacle.
On the BBC, Alan Shearer didn’t hold back, suggesting even labelling the game ‘rubbish’ would be generous. He’s not wrong so far. Germany are circulating the ball, Paraguay are shutting doors, and the favourites need a spark. Nagelsmann may have to inject more pace between the lines or bring on a runner to drag those compact banks around.
Goalless, tight, and tense at the interval feel — and if Germany don’t raise the tempo, this has all the makings of a classic knockout ambush. Paraguay have done the hard yards; now it’s on Germany to find the punch.
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