Fulham vs Tottenham – Betting Odds & Predictions – Premier League 25/26

Craven Cottage 01 March - 14:00
Fulham
VS
Tottenham
Recommended tip Win for Fulham

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There’s nothing like a London derby to quicken the pulse, and this one promises sparks. Fulham host Tottenham at Craven Cottage on Sunday lunchtime, a fixture that could have meaningful repercussions for both clubs. The Cottagers are riding a decent run of form after that 3-1 win at Sunderland, while Spurs arrive bruised and scrambled after a heavy defeat to Arsenal. Expect noise, intent and chances.

Form is the headline here: Fulham have regained a bit of swagger and sit comfortably in the top half with European hopes within reach, whereas Tottenham look worryingly threadbare and low on confidence. The rivalry might not be the fiercest geographically, but these London clashes always carry extra spice. For those shopping for value, our football betting sites guide is a useful starting point before locking stakes in.

Big talking points include Fulham’s home resilience, Tottenham’s shaky backline and the ever-present question of who will take responsibility in the final third. Both teams have been involved in goal-laden affairs recently, which makes this one prime for both entertaining football and some spicy Predictions and Tips. The atmosphere down by the river always lifts the home side — the Cottagers will hope it does again.

Sunday’s kick-off feels like a tipping point for Spurs: a result here could steady their season, while defeat would deepen the malaise. For punters and fans alike, the stakes are clear — pride, momentum and three crucial points.

Odds and Predictions

Bookmakers have already made their calls. Pre-game odds suggest a home bias with Fulham priced as favourites: HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%; DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%; AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%. Those implied probabilities paint a neat picture: the bookies give the Cottagers the edge, but they’re hardly overwhelming. The odds leave room for a tight contest.

Looking beyond the raw numbers, the markets are also reflecting Tottenham’s current wobble — a side that has lost three on the spin will attract caution from traders. That said, Spurs remain capable of moments of quality, so conservative stakes on a straight away back might not be the shrewdest play. The smarter angle is to combine the match-winner market with goal markets; given both teams’ recent scoring records, a Fulham win with Both Teams To Score (BTTS) feels shrewd.

Our pundit-style prediction blends analysis with a bit of cheek: back Fulham to take the three points, but don’t be surprised if Tottenham sneak a goal. So the primary tip is a Win for Fulham, with BTTS likely. The correct score to consider for those wanting a bit more value is 2-1 to Fulham — a traditional, satisfying London derby scoreline.

Odds and probability are useful, but context matters — injuries, momentum and set-piece threats all influence outcomes. If you’re hunting for longer odds, a double chance or Fulham & BTTS market could pay nicely; for straight-up predictions, the home win is the call.

Comparison and Statistics

Head to head history favours the hosts. Recent H2H meetings show Fulham unbeaten in the last four against Tottenham, winning three and drawing one. That psychological edge should not be underestimated — Spurs will be conscious of past slips against these opponents.

Form tables tell a similar story: Fulham’s attack has been lively, scoring freely in their last fixtures, while Spurs have conceded heavily, most notably in that 4-1 drubbing by Arsenal. Both teams have seen BTTS in three of their last four matches individually, which underlines the attacking openness on show and supports our Both Teams To Score projection.

Defensively, Fulham have tightened up at home, with four wins from their last six home matches in all competitions. Tottenham’s shaky run includes a string of matches without a clean sheet, and set-pieces have been an Achilles heel. Expect a game where momentum swings — Fulham pressing to control the game, Spurs looking to hit on the break.

Key statistics to bank: Fulham’s recent home form, Tottenham’s winless streak, and the frequency of BTTS in each side’s recent fixtures. Those numbers combine to suggest an entertaining, open derby rather than a dour stalemate.

Expected Line-ups

Predicted Fulham XI (likely): Leno (GK); Tete, Andersen, Bassey, Sessegnon; Iwobi, Berge; Wilson, Smith Rowe, Bobb; Jimenez. The Cottagers should stick to a fluid attacking shape that emphasises wing-play and quick transitions. Injuries look light for the hosts, with Kevin the only notable absentee mentioned in pre-match notes — a manageable blow rather than a season-defining loss.

Predicted Tottenham XI (likely): Vicario (GK); Porro, Danso, Van de Ven, Spence; Gallagher, Palhinha, Gray; Kolo Muani, Solanke, Simons. Tottenham could line up to be compact through the middle and look to create chances from quick vertical passes. Cristian Romero is unavailable due to suspension, which weakens their defensive options and may force tactical tweaks.

Both sides have players returning from knocks — Fulham could welcome back some freshness on the flanks while Spurs have recently seen Porro and Danso regain fitness. Suspensions and small niggles will dictate tweaks, and managers may favour solidity early on before opening up the game in the second half.

Expect substitutions to play a big role. Both teams have attacking talent on the bench who can change the complexion late on, especially in a match where fitness and momentum are being tested.

How Will the Season Pan Out

This fixture has implications beyond three points. A Fulham victory bolsters a push towards European qualification chatter; a win here would consolidate their top-half credentials and feed belief that a European challenge is plausible. The Cottagers’ home form and ability to nick results against historically stronger opposition are big reasons for optimism.

For Tottenham, the ramifications are starker. Another dropped home-style London result deepens the pressure on their league ambitions and could turn a wobble into a slide. Spurs need points fast to stop the rot and keep any hopes of a top-four finish alive. Failure to pick up results here risks a season defined by salvage attempts rather than silverware pursuits.

Longer-term, this derby may be a snapshot of where each club is headed: Fulham climbing and consolidating, Tottenham scrambling to rediscover consistency. The table will tighten as the run-in approaches, and games like this one often become the markers pundits point to later in the season when tracing momentum shifts.

In short: back the hosts for the win but expect entertainment — goals at both ends, tactical tweaks, and a season narrative that will feel very different depending on Sunday’s result. Our tip is a Win for Fulham and a high chance of BTTS; stake sensibly and enjoy the derby.

Mark Brown
Written by:
Mark Brown
Chief Statistician

Bio:

Football bores me to tears! I’m not interested in the Rooney’s and Ronaldo’s of the world, but I am interested in betting. With that in mind, I spend hours trawling through the statistics of the football markets and can usually come up with an angle which presents a viable betting opportunity.

Key contributions:

Chief statistician or Stato, as my colleagues like to call me

Personnel betting philosophy or quotes:

“Risk wisely, gain greatly”

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